Socio-Economics History Blog

Socio-Economics & History Commentary

The Central Bankers Are Going To Shutoff The Spigot And The Economy Will Rollover: Charles Hugh Smith

Charles_Lindberg_on_FedRes

Louis_McFadden_1929_Stock_Market_Crash_International_Bankers

Carroll_Quigley_Tragedy_n_Hope2

http://www.wnd.com/2008/03/59405/

Click on image for article.

The Satanic capstone on your dollar bill ie. the Anti-Christ, the bringer of false peace, the white horseman of Revelation 6. The Luciferian New World Order will be complete with the arrival of the Satanic capstone, the Man of Sin who will conquer the world with 'peace' in a world wrecked by global wars. Revelation 6!

The Satanic capstone on your dollar bill ie. the Anti-Christ, the bringer of false peace, the white horseman of Revelation 6. The Luciferian New World Order will be complete with the arrival of the Satanic capstone, the Man of Sin who will conquer the world with ‘peace’ in a world wrecked by global wars. Revelation 6!

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January 23, 2017 Posted by | Economics, GeoPolitics | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Jim Rickards: The Fed’s “Nuclear Option”: $4,900 Gold, $100 Silver, $200 Oil

Remember the Golden Rule: "He who has the gold Rules!"

Remember the Golden Rule: “He who has the gold Rules!”

  • The Fed’s “Nuclear Option”: $4,900 Gold, $100 Silver, $200 Oil
    by Chris Campbell, Jan 17, 2017, https://lfb.org/
    “The final weapon in the Fed’s arsenal,” Jim Rickards, author of The Road to Ruin: The Global Elites’ Secret Plan For the Next Financial Crisis, wrote this week, “is the financial equivalent of nuclear war.”

    The Fed’s “nuclear option,” Rickards warns, is… wait for it… gold.

    We bring this up today because this nuclear option could have a yuge (sometimes spelled “yooge”) impact on the price of not only the midas metal (see below), but of silver ($100) and oil ($200), too. And we want you to have plenty of time to ready yourself.
    ….
    7 Federal Reserve Tools and Why They’re All Flawed
    Jim Rickards
    In recent decades, the Fed has engaged in a series of policy interventions and market manipulations that have paradoxically left it more powerful even as those interventions left a trail of crashes, collapses and calamities.

    The following is a survey of seven Federal Reserve tools in the Fed toolkit to stimulate the economy if recession or deflation gains the upper hand and why their toolkit is flawed.

    Helicopter Money
    The image of the Fed printing paper money, and dumping it from helicopters to consumers waiting below who scoop it up and start spending is a popular, but not very informative way to describe helicopter money. In reality, helicopter money is the coordination of fiscal policy and monetary policy in a way designed to provide stimulus to a weak economy and to fight deflation.

    The Nuclear Option — Gold
    The final weapon in the Fed’s arsenal is the financial equivalent of nuclear war. The Fed could instantly create inflation and achieve nominal if not real growth by massively devaluing the dollar when measured as a unit of gold.

    This was last done in 1933–34 and was highly successful. Stocks rallied and commodity prices boomed in the middle of the Great Depression (1929–1940). This boom was not sustained because the Fed and Treasury prematurely tightened monetary policy and fiscal policy in 1937, which put the U.S. economy back into a severe technical recession from 1937–1938.

    The Fed could use this nuclear option by coordinating with the Treasury to make a two-way market in gold using printed money. This would work exactly like quantitative easing, except the Fed would buy or sell gold instead of Treasury bonds.

    The Fed would set an arbitrarily high fixed price for gold such as $5,000 per ounce. The Fed would make that price stick by offering to buy gold from any seller at $4,900 per ounce and selling gold to the market at $5,100 per ounce. This amounts to a 4% band or spread around the target price, a classic pegging technique.

    Gold could be removed from or added to the U.S. hoard at West Point, NY, and money would be created by or destroyed by the Fed in order to make the target price stick.

    If, for example, the price of gold was $1,300 per ounce before the operation, the effect would be to devalue the dollar from 1/1,300th of an ounce of gold to 1/5000th of an ounce of gold, a 75% devaluation of the dollar. This devaluation would not take place in isolation.

    A 75% dollar devaluation in gold would signal devaluation in all other goods and services and result in $100 per ounce silver, $200 per barrel oil, etc.

    This is obviously an extreme measure and would only be used in the face of strong persistent deflation. Yet, the fact that that technique exists and has been used in the past is one reason to conclude that deflation will not in fact persist beyond certain limits because the Fed and Treasury have the ability to stop it as they did in 1933.

    read more.

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January 19, 2017 Posted by | Economics, History | , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Nomi Prins: Financial Crash Possible in Last Quarter of 2017

  • Nomi Prins: Financial Crash Possible in Last Quarter of 2017
    by Greg Hunter’s USAWatchdog.com
    Best-selling author Nomi Prins says two of the big wild cards are Donald Trump and Europe. Prins explains, “The biggest wild card is a combination. Trump is a wild card, but so is Europe. Right now, the political lens goes over to Europe. It’s caught between its old and potentially new structure and potential new political leadership. I think that is a major wild card now. That snakes through Russia, and that snakes through Eurasia relationships, and that relates back to Trump. The wild card is the linkages among those things.”


    Prins, who is a former top Wall Street banker, also thinks it’s hard to define the bad guys and the good guys. Prins contends, “From an economic standpoint, everyone has side deals. So, there is no positive or negative economy. . . . All countries do good things, and all countries do bad things. What is happening right now is all of the alignments between countries have been changing. . . . The reality is there are going to be a lot of things renegotiated, and it’s not just Trump and the U.S. doing the renegotiating. All the other countries are negotiating as well. If there is enough antagonism with how Trump is going to renegotiate those agreements . . . that could limit trade into the U.S., and that could limit our bargaining power. . . . That is all in flux this year.”

    Prins correctly predicted no financial crash for 2016. Prins’ upcoming book is titled “Artisans of Money.” It is all about central bank money creation. What does Prins say about this year? Prins predicts, “In 2016, I pegged the non-crash. . . . Central bankers were finding new ways to extend their money creation policies. That is what kept the markets up. There was a separate bid on the markets after Trump was elected. It was on the expectation that he would be good for growth, that he would be good for infrastructure and that he would create jobs. I do think there is a little juice in the central banks. I keep thinking there shouldn’t be, but they keep surprising all of us with their ability to boost the markets. They have artificially stimulated so many different asset bubbles, whether it’s debt, which is epic, or stock markets, many of which are at historic highs. If we have a crash, it will be in the second half of 2017. The promises, the rate hikes, the dollar being high could collapse into the realities of the stability and this artificialness. I am not sure about a crash this year, but if we see a big decline, it will be in the last quarter.”

    On the U.S. dollar, Prins says, “I think with the expectation of things going well, the dollar will be keeping a bit of a bid. It will be within a range but staying fairly up. I think the dollar will turn around and weaken in the second half of the year. . . .That’s why, in the last half of the year, gold will catch more of a bid.” (Meaning prices for gold will rise according to Prins.)

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January 19, 2017 Posted by | Economics, GeoPolitics | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Trump Takes The Final Currency War Thermonuclear, Puts Gold Cartel On Notice!

  • Trump Takes The Final Currency War Thermonuclear, Puts Gold Cartel On Notice!
    by , https://www.milesfranklin.com/
    It’s the rare day I wake up to see news so powerfully Precious Metal bullish – regarding its short and long-term implications – I can barely contain myself.  The last such event was the BrExit – which set into motion the inevitable collapse of the European Union and Euro currency as we know it.  Which, seven months later, appears more certain than ever – and perhaps, if this year’s Dutch, French, German, Italian, and Catalonian elections and legislative actions trend in the direction I anticipate, imminent.  Which I assure you, last night’s news will only hasten further.


    Moreover, it’s equally rare to see so many of my predictions borne out in real time; let alone, as today’s events were catalyzed by none other than Donald Trump himself, the most anti-establishment politician ever elected to a major Western political office.  To that end, I have written more of Donald Trump than any single person in my five-and-a-half years at Miles Franklin – who last night, confirmed why back in September I predicted a Trump victory would be the political, economic, and monetary equivalent of a “BrExit times ten.”  To the point that, at one of his rallies mere weeks before the election, he actually utilized that very term.

    In fact, in the past week alone, I vehemently espoused my views of why his Presidency, as initially opined in “BrExit times ten,” would be the best imaginable scenario for Precious Metal investors.   First, I taped the “Death of Trump-Flation” Audioblog on Wednesday – discussing my belief that few of his campaign promises were politically and economically viable; and fewer still, a net positive for America in the first place.  Which in reality, was a “sequel” of the “turning on Trump” Audioblog I taped in November, mere days after the election.  When, in the afterglow of having successfully avoided the election of the Wicked Witch of the West(ern Hemisphere) as President, I focused on the economic reality of what a Trump Presidency actually meant.

    Thus, when Trump “shocked the world” last night by claiming the dollar is “too strong”; and to boot, slamming the Republicans’ “border adjustment tax” proposal, in lieu of the hard-coated import tariffs he favors, he for all intents and purposes took the aforementioned “final currency war” thermonuclear; in the process, putting the gold Cartel on notice that his policies will unquestionably yield a dramatic surge in physical Precious Metal demand – particularly, here in America, where even the most die-hard, Keynesian-brainwashed investors will be forced to realize the dollar’s purchasing power is about  to be significantly devalued.  Not that it hasn’t already, of course.  However, in the past, such inflation occurred in a more “frog in a boiling pot” fashion, as markets were manipulated to deflect attention from the Fed’s dollar-destroying policies, whilst the “strong dollar policy” and other anti-gold propaganda was relentlessly spewed by the cast of Atlas Shrugged cartoon characters running the government, Central banks, and major financial institutions to keep investors away from the “barbarous relic” that is gold.

    Well, care of the “loose cannon” himself, the gold Cartel – and the entire world political, financial, and monetary order – has been “put on notice” that the U.S. no longer intends to even pretend it has a “strong dollar policy”; and to the contrary, may well devolve into the same, overt currency depreciation policies made famous by the Japanese; Europeans; Chinese; and heck, every Central bank.  This, at a time when the global “war on cash” is exploding; and the inexorable Bitcoin emergence is making a clear statement that the world’s populace no longer believes “money” is what it once was.  In other words, as I wrote last week, the death throes of “money” are becoming eminently visible – making it more and more likely that the inevitable “run” from worthless fiat; and into “priceless” Precious Metals”; is rapidly approaching – like a runaway train, careening down an icy hill with no breaks.

    read more.
9 Jan 1988 cover, The Economist: Get Ready for a World Currency by 2018! The Rise of the Phoenix world currency from the ashes of national fiat currencies ie. destruction of fiat currencies via hyperinflation. "Phoenix" is of course an occult metaphor. Out of the destruction, the ashes of the old world order, the Luciferian New World Order will rise like a Phoenix!

9 Jan 1988 cover, The Economist: Get Ready for a World Currency by 2018! The Rise of the Phoenix world currency from the ashes of national fiat currencies ie. destruction of fiat currencies via hyperinflation. “Phoenix” is of course an occult metaphor. Out of the destruction, the ashes of the old world order, the Luciferian New World Order will rise like a Phoenix!

http://www.newdawnmagazine.com/Article/A_Global_Central_Bank_Global_Currency_World_Government.html

Click on image for article.

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January 18, 2017 Posted by | Economics, GeoPolitics | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Bill Holter: In 2017 Trump will be Presiding Over a Bankruptcy

  • Bill Holter: In 2017 Trump will be Presiding Over a Bankruptcy
    by Greg Hunter’s USAWatchdog.com(Early Sunday Release 1.9.17)
    Financial writer Bill Holter says 2017 will be “the year of the Truth Bomb.” Holter explains, “I have been talking about ‘Truth Bombs’ for about a year and a half. I think what is going to happen in 2017 is that this hologram we’ve been living in, the curtain is going to be pulled back. . . . I want to see the truth come out, and that’s why we do what we do.”

    One of the big truths that will explode is about the economy, and this will be one of Trump’s biggest problems. Holter goes on to say, “Trump is a smart guy, and he understands that really what he’s going to be doing is presiding over a bankruptcy. That’s what his main job is going to be, and that’s reorganizing this country.”

    What will the end of 2017 look like? Holter says, “I don’t think it will even resemble what today looks like. I think you may see the financial system come down, and it may be by the end of the year that the system is coming back up or coming back on line. We are going to have a bank holiday. We are going to have to have some sort of reset. The reset will include a bank holiday. Your ATM won’t work. Your credit cards won’t work. Distribution is going to fail. It’s all about credit. Everything financial and everything economic relies on credit. I believe that we are going to have a credit crisis this year where credit becomes very scarce or actually dries up completely. In that scenario, it is not good. You are talking about distribution breaking down and people going hungry, riots, martial law, cross default from country to country to country to country, bank to bank to bank and broker to broker to broker. Everything runs and lives on credit, and without credit, it’s almost like caveman days.”

    read more.

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January 9, 2017 Posted by | Economics, Social Trends | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Lior Gantz: Financial Derivatives War Could Bring Down Global Economy. Grave Danger Elite Bankers Might Make Trump Fail

  • Lior Gantz: Financial Derivatives War Could Bring Down Global Economy. Grave Danger Elite Bankers Might Make Trump Fail
    by Greg Hunter’s USAWatchdog.com
    Financial expert Lior Gantz says there is good news and bad news for the economy with the election of Donald Trump. Gantz explains, “If he changes the equation, it could cause a lot of inflation in the U.S.  U.S. banks are so liquid and have so much excess cash because of TARP programs and QE programs that this could prompt them to start lending, and lend to the wrong people.  It could prompt the government to start issuing increased food stamps, universal unemployment checks and all kinds of stuff that can create large inflation in the U.S.  So, that is one side that is problematic.  The other side is very spectacular for the U.S. economy because Trump is doing a lot of things that should have been done years ago:  deregulation, cutting back on taxes, cutting the red tape and making sure that businesses are more comfortable with opening new branches in the U.S.  The best indicator of this is the Russell 2000 index that is up much more than the Dow because the small cap companies are mostly based in the U.S., and the large cap companies are international.”


    Gantz warns that problems could be caused by central banks either by accident or on purpose. Gantz, who was a money manager for the wealthy, says, “I would even say that there is real grave danger that the government or the elite banking system will create problems.  I will even say they might even make Trump fail.  They might do something to his disadvantage on purpose because he’s not mainstream, because he’s not them.  He came out of nowhere, and he was not backed like Hillary.  That is also baked in the cake, and it is what we call a black swan.”

    So, if push comes to shove, will the global elite allow deflation or will they trip the inflation button? Gantz, who specializes in resource stocks, says, “They will trip the inflation button.  They will not allow deflation to happen in the U.S., and I will tell you why.  They feel like they are invincible, and they can’t admit failure.  They will never admit, hey, we have done this wrong.  QE programs were wrong.  Negative interest rates were wrong.  They will not come out and say it.  They will do whatever it takes to play their end game.  They honestly don’t care about the average person.  That’s the last thing on their mind.  They care about their lifestyle and the way they live life on the toil, sweat and energy of the people who really create the economy and innovation.”

    Gantz also warns of a possible derivative war between top bankers that could bring the global economy down. Gantz contends, “Once somebody begins to change the way they look at derivatives, and start using derivatives as a weapon . . .  they’re going to fight between each other.  These are nasty people that all they care about is what they make in cold hard cash to take home.  They really could start a derivative war that would not be beneficial for anyone.  It would be more violent than an orchestrated derivative explosion that I really don’t think is possible.  The derivative market is so big that it is out of the control of anybody.”

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January 5, 2017 Posted by | Economics, GeoPolitics | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Precious Metals Manipulation Goes Much Deeper Than What Is Being Reported: Rob Kirby

January 4, 2017 Posted by | Economics, GeoPolitics | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Our Standard Of Living Is Coming To An End, Expect A 30-50% Drop: Bill Holter

January 3, 2017 Posted by | Economics, GeoPolitics, Social Trends | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

2017 Predictions on Trump, Gold, Silver, Housing, Stocks, Bonds & Antarctica: Clif High

  • 2017 Predictions on Trump, Gold, Silver, Housing, Stocks, Bonds & Antarctica: Clif High 
    by Greg Hunter’s USAWatchdog.com (Early Sunday Release)
    Internet data mining expert Clif High says forget about the rumors and predictions of Donald Trump being blocked from taking office. High says Trump will be sworn in as the 45th President and explains, “I don’t have any data that says, hard stop, Trump is assassinated.  I don’t have that . . . . I am willing to back my data with real money, an ounce of silver, and I have an ounce of silver, and I would be willing to bet the inauguration part goes through smoothly given the emotional data sets we have now.”

    High, who calls what he does “Predictive Linguistics,” mines the internet and collects billions of data points to produce forecasts of the future.  On the financial markets, High simply says, “We’re screwed. . . . The equity markets in our data sets are highly manipulated.  So, if you ask will there be a crash?  I say there already is a crash.  Everybody that is not part of the financial system at the top end is currently living in a depression, and the media does not acknowledge this.”

    On the U.S. dollar and its purchasing power, High predicts, “The purchasing power is going to be eroded away fairly quickly. I suspect the erosion (of the U.S. dollar) is going to start in March or so. . . . The turning point for the Trump euphoria will hit at the end of February and carry on through March and April.  There will probably be people that will define this as a crash. . . . In our data sets, around March and April, the erosion of the dollar continues . . . The Fed, in a laggardly way, starts to chase interest rates. . . . We may jump to 9% or 10% interest rates as quickly as March or April.”

    On Real Estate prices, High’s data tells him the entire market will eventually “fall by 90%.” High explains, “The language is about the high end crashing first, and then, it meets the middle tier, and then they crash to meet the lower tier.  So, it’s not going to be the high end coming down and then stabilizing.  We are seeing a generalized property price crash that is really just going to coincide with the inability of the banks to circulate enough money and create enough debt to blow the balloon up again.  Real estate will drop for what I am calling a credit freeze for lack of a better word.”

    On Gold and Silver and Bitcoin, High says they will start moving up at the beginning of the New Year, and Obama will see the beginnings of a market crash before he leaves office. High contends, “Our data sets show that there is a lot of upward pressure on Gold and Silver and Bitcoin as the currencies go into a crisis mode. That basically is already happening.”

    High’s data is pointing to Silver and Gold prices starting to takeoff in early 2017. High says data is showing a possible “$600 per ounce price for Silver” at some point.  High says before that happens, he sees “$125 per ounce” price for Silver on up to “$345 per ounce.”  High’s data also repeatedly says the “gold price per ounce will eventually be equal to the Dow.”

    read more.

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January 2, 2017 Posted by | Economics, GeoPolitics, Social Trends | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Jim Willie: For Auld Lang Jackass

Click on image to download MP3 interview.

Click on image to download MP3 interview.

  • Jim Willie: For Auld Lang Jackass
    by Turd Ferguson, http://www.tfmetalsreport.com/
    One year ends and a new one begins. That means it’s time to take stock of where we’ve been and where we’re going and few are better at pointing the way than The Golden Jackass. For this call, I asked Jim to primarily focus his comments on three, specific areas of interest for 2017:

    1. The global bond market, QE and interest rates
    2. The Italian and Eurozone banking sector
    3. The Trump Administration versus The Established Elites

    As usual, I think you’ll find this entertaining and very informative. Enjoy the show and be sure to have a safe and relaxing New Year’s weekend.

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January 2, 2017 Posted by | Economics, GeoPolitics | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Warren Pollock: Clinton & Trump Will Fight to the Death. Trump Inherits Political and Economic Titanic

  • Warren Pollock: Clinton & Trump Will Fight to the Death. Trump Inherits Political and Economic Titanic 
    by Greg Hunter’s USAWatchdog.com 
    Analyst and financial expert Warren Pollock says Donald Trump has been dealt a horrendous hand when it comes to the political environment and the economy. Pollock explains, “Trump inherited the Titanic or a nuclear reactor that is about to explode.  As he tries to fix this giant mess, he’s bound to upset the apple cart.  The economy is fragile.  The society is fragile.  If he touches anything, something is liable to break somewhere.  People want Obama Care removed immediately.  They want to see the swamp drained immediately.  I think these are things he believes in, and he is certainly a pragmatic manager compared to Hillary Clinton, who would have been an utter disaster for everyone in this country. . . . The problem for Trump, besides the piranhas that are circling him, both the Democrats and Republicans, is that he has inherited the Titanic, which means he can cause us to sink faster simply by touching something.  That’s why Obama Care can’t be turned off overnight.  That’s why he can’t impose massive tariffs on China overnight.  Whatever he does will cause tremendous dislocations.  Any corrective action that he takes will have unintended consequences, and he understands that.  He’s a pragmatist, and I think he is prepared to deal with this.  All the people he has chosen, all have differing opinions, but they are all excellent in one way or another.”


    On the absence of real news reporting and real data, Pollock says, “If there is no news available, then they will just make stuff up. That’s the way our economy functions.  That’s the way the stock market functions.  That’s the way the bond market functions.  They were stealing from people for the last eight years with zero interest rates.  There is no capital formation.  Companies that do IPO’s (Initial Public Offerings), they are not giving you something to invest in, they are giving you their exit strategy.   So, everything is fake, and it gets very hard for an executive to make decisions based on fake information.  When some people take over a company, they are turnaround specialists.  That’s really what Trump has to be.”

    read more.

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December 29, 2016 Posted by | Economics, GeoPolitics | , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

The Establishment Is Setting Up The Economy To Come Crashing Down On Trump: Louis Cammarosano

December 29, 2016 Posted by | Economics, GeoPolitics | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

It’s The Dollar, Stupid!

The_Death_of_King_Dollar

  • It’s The Dollar, Stupid!  
    by Paul Brodsky via Macro-Allocation.com, http://www.zerohedge.com/
    We think the markets have it fundamentally wrong. US investors are anticipating a cyclical shift towards economic expansion via new tax incentives, business de-regulation and Keynesian government spending that promise to increase output, demand and asset prices. However, there is a far more influential driver of future asset prices – a structural shift that has begun but has yet to be acknowledged by economic and political authorities, and, judging by financial asset markets, by most investors. We expect weak equity markets and a strong treasury market beginning in 2017.


    It’s the Dollar, Stupid.
    The financial model used by advanced economies since 1971 is quickly losing its ability to support economic growth and rising asset prices.1 Western economic policy, which had previously relied heavily on credit creation from 1971 to 2008, was replaced in 2009 by monetary policy that relied heavily on base money creation through asset purchases. The structural shift in central bank focus from credit to monetary creation marked a paradigm shift in the decades-long finance-based economic model – from the leveraging phase to the de-leveraging phase.

    We expect debt deflation coincident with central bank monetary inflation, which would offset the deflation…on paper (like feet in the oven, head in the freezer producing a reasonable average). Before this occurs, we expect a financial or economic event that focuses public attention on the leverage problem.

    We expect global monetary authorities to protect the dollar as long as they can and we expect them to fail. Stocks and bonds will react violently; stocks and weak credits falling, treasuries prices rising (at first). That failure will lead to hyperinflation – not driven by demand, but rather by central bank money printing. A new global monetary understanding will then emerge.

    We expect weak equities and a strong treasury market in 2017, as they begin to discount this fundamental structural shift.

    read more.

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December 29, 2016 Posted by | Economics | , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Jim Willie on The American Freedom Radio – The Ochelli Effect

December 27, 2016 Posted by | Economics, GeoPolitics | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Bundesbank Repatriates Gold At A Much Faster Pace To Prepare For The Economic Crisis

  • Published on Dec 26, 2016
    Goldman Sachs was caught manipulating the US Dollar and order to pay a small fine. The Bank Of Japan was the top purchaser for ETF, BOJ will completely own the market. Germany’s Bundesbank accelerated its gold repatriating before the economic crisis hits.

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December 27, 2016 Posted by | Economics | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment