Socio-Economics History Blog

Socio-Economics & History Commentary

Putin Draws Line In The Sand As West’s Major Oil Companies Push For War!

World_War_3 Russia US NATO

  • Putin Draws Line In The Sand As West’s Major Oil Companies Push For War! 
    by http://www.kingworldnews.com
    After back-to-back weeks of historic announcements that rocked the global markets, today a 41-year market veteran sent King World News an incredibly powerful piece that warns Russian President Vladimir Putin has drawn a line in the sand, as the West’s major oil companies are pushing for war.

    By 41-Year Market Veteran Bill Haynes
    January 26 (King World News) – Almost unreported in the United States is talk of shutting Russia out of the SWIFT banking payment system.  This would be the harshest sanction for Russia’s support of the separatist rebels in Ukraine.  SWIFT is the means by which banks move money around the world….

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    Shutting Iran out of SWIFT was a devastating blow to the Iranian economy, and denying Russia access to SWIFT could deliver a deadly blow to the already reeling Russian economy, suffering from the double whammy of US-led sanctions and oil prices cut in half over the last six months.
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    On The Verge Of War
    The chief executive of Russia’s second largest bank, speaking at the World Economic Conference in Davos, Switzerland, said, “If there is no SWIFT, there is no banking . . . relationship.  It means that the countries are on the verge of war, or they are definitely in a cold war.  The next day, the Russian and American ambassadors would have to leave the capitals.”
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    read more!
http://rt.com/business/211291-swift-banking-russia-vtb/

Monetary and financial WW3 has already started ! Click on image for article!

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January 26, 2015 Posted by | Economics, GeoPolitics | , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

World To Plunge Into Total Chaos And Panic In 2015!

Global economic, financial and currency collapse fast approaching!

Global economic, financial and currency collapse fast approaching!

  • World To Plunge Into Total Chaos And Panic In 2015! 
    by http://www.kingworldnews.com
    Today a legend who was recently asked by the Chinese government to give a speech to a large number of government officials in China warned King World News that the world is going to plunge into total chaos and panic in 2015.  John Ing, who has been in the business for 43 years, takes KWN readers on a trip down the rabbit hole of governent theft of assets, and central bank lies and corruption.  He also made a stunning prediction about gold.

    Eric King:  “John, you warned King World News on January 12th, ahead of the euro collapsing against the Swiss franc, that there would be a series of cascading global defaults.  It was amazing timing on your part.  What is going to happen now?”

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    John Ing:  “The Swiss move shocked the currency markets.  This was just days after promising they would keep the peg.  The bottom line is central banks can’t be trusted and the central banks are now involved in open financial warfare….
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    Eric King:  “John, you made the call for a cascading series of global defaults ahead of the stunning move by the Swiss that put some currency houses and hedge funds out of business overnight.  Now you are saying central banks are involved in open financial warfare.  What is your visions of how this will unfold, because you warned in your previous interview that this would be worse than the collapse of 2008.”
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    Ing:  “When Lehman kicked off the collapse that accelerated in 2008, the printed money was used to bailout Wall Street.  But today Wall Street is even more leveraged.  The biggest banks possess a staggering $250 trillion worth of energy exposure, which is highly mismatched.  So the astonishing leverage today is even higher than it was in 2007.
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    read more!

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January 24, 2015 Posted by | Economics, GeoPolitics | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

A Perfect Storm: Brace Yourself for an Epic Economic Meltdown!

Global Super Storm meltdown??

Global Super Storm meltdown??

  • A Perfect Storm: Brace Yourself for an Epic Economic Meltdown! 
    by James Rickards, http://dailyreckoning.com/ 
    Over the coming months, I believe we could see an economic meltdown at least six times the size of the 2007 subprime mortgage meltdown.
    -
    Circumstances lead me to believe it could play out like the meltdown I experienced in 1998 after Long-Term Capital Management (LTCM) failed. This time, however, there will be several crucial differences that will leave investors and regulators unprepared.
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    In fact, last week, I held a live intelligence briefing called The Perfect Storm: A 1998 Redux to alert Strategic Intelligence readers to the dangers. But what I didn’t mention during the briefing were the two intelligence triggers I used to support my outlook.
    ….
    In 1998, a financial panic almost destroyed global capital markets. It started in Thailand in June 1997 and then spread to Indonesia and Korea. By the summer of 1998, Russia had defaulted on its debt and its currency collapsed. The resulting liquidity crisis caused massive losses at hedge fund Long-Term Capital Management.
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    I know about the losses because I was there. As LTCM’s lead counsel, I was at every executive committee meeting during the height of the crisis that August and September. We were losing hundreds of millions of dollars per day. Total losses over the two-month span were almost $4 billion. But that wasn’t the most dangerous part.
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    Our losses were trivial compared with to the $1 trillion of derivatives trades we had on our books with the biggest Wall Street banks. If LTCM failed, those trillion dollars of trades would not have paid off and the Wall Street banks would have fallen like dominoes. Global markets would have completely collapsed. 

    The next financial collapse, already on our radar screen, will not come from hedge funds or home mortgages. It will come from junk bonds, especially energy-related and emerging-market corporate debt.

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    The Financial Times recently estimated that the total amount of energy-related corporate debt issued from 2009-2014 for exploration and development is over $5 trillion. Meanwhile, the Bank for International Settlements recently estimated that the total amount of emerging-market dollar-denominated corporate debt is over $9 trillion.

    Energy-sector debt has been called into question because of the collapse of oil prices. And emerging markets debt has been called into question because of a global growth slowdown, global deflation, and the strong dollar.

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    The result is a $14 trillion pile of corporate debt that cannot possibly be repaid or rolled over under current economic conditions. Not all of this debt will default, but a lot of it will. Most of the energy related debt was issued in the expectation that oil would remain in the $80 to $130 dollar per barrel range
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    read more!

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January 22, 2015 Posted by | Economics | , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Full Out Economic Warfare Between US and Russia Over Oil Prices!

  • Published on Jan 21, 2015
    The Iraqi energy minister has just said in Davos that oil prices have bottomed out. For more RT is joined by financial journalist and author, founder of the Commodity Discovery investment Fund; Willem Middelkoop. Read More: http://on.rt.com/6znb3r 

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January 22, 2015 Posted by | Economics, GeoPolitics | , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Boom Goes The Dynamite: The Crashing Price Of Oil Is Going To Rip The Global Economy To Shreds!

Boom-Goes-The-Dynamite-Explosion

  • Boom Goes The Dynamite: The Crashing Price Of Oil Is Going To Rip The Global Economy To Shreds! 
    by Michael Snyder, http://theeconomiccollapseblog.com/ 
    If you were waiting for a “black swan event” to come along and devastate the global economy, you don’t have to wait any longer.  As I write this, the price of U.S. oil is sitting at $45.76 a barrel.  It has fallen by more than 60 dollars a barrel since June.  There is only one other time in history when we have seen anything like this happen before.  That was in 2008, just prior to the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression.  But following the financial crisis of 2008, the price of oil rebounded fairly rapidly.  As you will see below, there are very strong reasons to believe that it will not happen this time.  And the longer the price of oil stays this low, the worse our problems are going to get.  At a price of less than $50 a barrel, it is just a matter of time before we see a huge wave of energy company bankruptcies, massive job losses, a junk bond crash followed by a stock market crash, and a crisis in commodity derivatives unlike anything that we have ever seen before.  So let’s hope that a very unlikely miracle happens and the price of oil rebounds substantially in the months ahead.  Because if not, the price of oil is going to absolutely rip the global economy to shreds.
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    What amazes me is that there are still many economic “experts” in the mainstream media that are proclaiming that the collapse in the price of oil is going to be a good thing for the U.S. economy.
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    The only precedent that we can compare the current crash to is the oil price collapse of 2008.  You can see both crashes on the chart below…
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    read more!
http://www.infowars.com/plummeting-oil-prices-could-destroy-the-banks-that-are-holding-trillions-in-commodity-derivatives/

Judo master Putin executing a deft move? Using the enemy’s oil attack thrust to floor the enemy! Click on image for article!

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January 21, 2015 Posted by | Economics, GeoPolitics | , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Jim Willie’s 2015 Forecasts: Revaluation of Gold to $18,000, Death of Dollar (Part 2/2) !

  • Published on Jan 15, 2015
    This is part 2, here’s part 1: http://bit.ly/JimWillie_1

    IN PART 2:
    - Revaluation of the gold price to $18,000 ►0:54
    - Gold to skyrocket overnight ►17:55
    - Jim Willie’s opinion on physical precious metals vs. gold and silver mining stocks ►25:51 

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January 21, 2015 Posted by | Economics, GeoPolitics, Social Trends | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Iran OK With $25 Oil As Iraq Pumps Crude At Record Pace!

http://www.infowars.com/plummeting-oil-prices-could-destroy-the-banks-that-are-holding-trillions-in-commodity-derivatives/

Judo master Putin executing a deft move? Using the enemy’s oil attack thrust to floor the enemy! Click on image for article!

  • Iran OK With $25 Oil As Iraq Pumps Crude At Record Pace! 
    by Tyler Durden, http://www.zerohedge.com
    The precarious “game theory” equilibrium that worked for decades while OPEC was still a functioning cartel is unwinding before everyone’s eyes. Just as Saudi Arabia accurately anticipated, the lower the price of crude goes, the more both OPEC members and their non-OPEC peers (especially shale companies funded by hundreds of billion in junk bonds) will have to produce in order to keep their budgeted revenues roughly in line (and keep creditors happy for the time being) in the process setting off an unprecedented wave of bankruptcies and production capacity declines, which take about 6-12 months after the price plunge to materialize. Case in point: the country formerly known as Iraq (and now better known as that region around the Tigris and the Euphrates that does not belong to ISIS) is pumping crude at a record pace and will continue to boost exports this year, its Oil Minister Adel Abdul Mahdi said.

    Those who were rushing to buy Brent on its latest intraday Friday spike, and are wondering why it is back below $50, here is the reason: “The average for Iraqi crude output is 4 million barrels a day, which is a historical record,” Abdul Mahdi said at a news conference after meeting his Turkish counterpart, Taner Yildiz, in Baghdad. Exports from Iraq will rise to 3.3 million barrels a day this year, boosted by oil from the Kurdish region, Abdul Mahdi said.

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    read more!

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January 20, 2015 Posted by | Economics | , , , | 1 Comment

Former White Official Warns Another Derivatives Nightmare Is About To Shock The World !

WarrenBuffet-Financial_Derivatives_r_WMD_n_time_bombs_for_the_economic_system

  • Former White Official Warns Another Derivatives Nightmare Is About To Shock The World! 
    by http://www.kingworldnews.com
    After a week of historic drama that was kicked off when the Swiss central bank surprised market participants by dropping their currency peg to the euro, today a former White House official warned King World News that things are about to get even worse as another derivatives nightmare is about to shock the world.

    Dr. Malmgren: 
    “Eric, the bank runs in Europe are happening simultaneously with the first big bankruptcy in the fracking world.  As the oil price has collapsed it has begun to expose which businesses in the United States are simply no longer financially viable….

    ….
    Dr. Malmgren:  “There are more than one quadrillion dollars worth of derivatives floating around on the books of various banks and other institutions in the financial world.  What will happen is a lot of them will come unstuck for multiple reasons that are interconnected — the oil prices going down, European banks turning out not to be sound or stable, and massive losses in emerging markets due to the collapse in commodity prices and currency turmoil. 
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    read more!
Global currency, economic and financial storm coming!

Global currency, economic and financial storm coming! Financial derivatives blackhole!

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January 20, 2015 Posted by | Economics | , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Jim Willie: Swiss De-peg Triggers Massive Derivative Crisis, Potential END OF THE EURO!

  • Jim Willie: Swiss De-peg Triggers Massive Derivative Crisis, Potential END OF THE EURO!! 
    by http://www.silverdoctors.com/ 
    In the wake of the Swiss National Bank shocking the market this week de-pegging the CHF from the Euro, the Golden Jackass Jim Willie joined us over the weekend for an Exclusive Interview discussing: 
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    * Willie explains why the Swiss are dumping the Euro in favor of GOLD, and that multi-hundred billion trading losses will result in MASSIVE DERIVATIVE LOSSES & CONTAGION!
    * Swiss actions have brought a HUGE ACCELERATION of end game events-We’re looking at the potential END of the EURO!
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    Swiss have front run the Global Currency Reset & GOLD REVALUATION!

    * $2 TRILLION IN SUB-PRIME OIL BONDS ARE ABOUT TO EXPLODE!  Contagion will be bigger than sub-prime housing crash!
    * Dollar Death-Spike: Fed has LOST CONTROL of the dollar!
    * Coming European bank failures will result in a STAMPEDE INTO GOLD!
    * 2015 Will be a repeat of Lehman- Several Western banks will go down, This is GAME OVER!
    * When Putin flips his switch, the DOLLAR IS DEAD, and Gold Will DOUBLE!
    * GREXIT will blow up the EU!

    read more!

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January 19, 2015 Posted by | Economics, GeoPolitics | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Insider Reveals Collapse Timeline!

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January 15, 2015 Posted by | Economics, GeoPolitics, Social Trends | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Russia Just Pulled Itself Out Of The Petrodollar!

PetroDollar_Scam_Breaking_Down

  • Russia Just Pulled Itself Out Of The Petrodollar! 
    by Tyler Durden, http://www.zerohedge.com
    Back in November, before most grasped just how serious the collapse in crude was (and would become, as well as its massive implications), we wrote “How The Petrodollar Quietly Died, And Nobody Noticed“, because for the first time in almost two decades, energy-exporting countries would pull their “petrodollars” out of world markets in 2015. 
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    This empirical death of Petrodollar followed years of windfalls for oil exporters such as Russia, Angola, Saudi Arabia and Nigeria. Much of that money found its way into financial markets, helping to boost asset prices and keep the cost of borrowing down, through so-called petrodollar recycling.
    ….
    As Bloomberg reports Russia may unseal its $88 billion Reserve Fund and convert some of its foreign-currency holdings into rubles, the latest government effort to prop up an economy veering into its worst slump since 2009.”

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    These are dollars which Russia would have otherwise recycled into US denominated assets. Instead, Russia will purchase even more Rubles and use the proceeds for FX and economic stabilization purposes. 
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    “Together with the central bank, we are selling a part of our foreign-currency reserves,” Finance Minister Anton Siluanov said in Moscow today. “We’ll get rubles and place them in deposits for banks, giving liquidity to the economy.
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    Call it less than amicable divorce, call it what you will: what it is, is Russia violently leaving the ranks of countries that exchange crude for US paper.
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    read more!

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January 15, 2015 Posted by | Economics | , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Laurence Kotlikoff: European Bank Runs Could Come to America!

  • Laurence Kotlikoff: European Bank Runs Could Come to America!
    by Greg Hunter’s USAWatchdog.com  (Early Sunday Release)
    Boston University Economics Professor Laurence Kotlikoff says Greece is, once again, in financial trouble and that could set off another global financial calamity.  Dr. Kotlikoff contends, “So, you have the same problem.  You have a country that is fiscally unsustainable, and they haven’t really been able to get out from under that situation. . . . It sets up a situation where you could have runs on other banks like in Italy, Spain, Portugal, and that could spread to other banks in other countries, including France and GermanyRemember, the big to do about the Cypriot banks that failed and said they weren’t going to pay off the depositors?  That led to a major international panic.  It was a small country with two relatively small banks.”

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    So, a daisy chain of defaults and bank runs could happen in Europe.  Could it also come to America?  Dr. Kotlikoff says, “Yes, it could also come to the U.S.   If everybody believes the banks are going to be solvent and they can get their money out, that’s fine.  But if everybody starts to run on the banks, you want to run before they do because you want to get you money out before it’s all gone.”
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    With the price of oil plunging, Russian banks are also at risk.  Dr. Kotlikoff says, “There are questions about the sustainability of Russia’s fiscal policy now that oil prices have dropped so much.  About 40% of the revenues for Russia come from the oil sector.  So, now you see what you say in 1998, which is the concern about Russian banks failing.  They did fail in ’98, and there were concerns about the government printing money.”  Dr. Kotlikoff goes on to say, “Demand deposit insurance, in the United States it’s FDIC insurance, is not real insurance if everybody is concerned about inflation.  If I know prices are going to skyrocket . . . and I think prices are going to be rising rapidly, first thing I want to do is go get that money and buy something real.  So, money starts becoming a hot potato.  That’s what happens in hyperinflation. . . . We have the basis for hyperinflation given the policies the Fed has been running.” 
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    read more!

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January 13, 2015 Posted by | Economics | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Dr. Jim Willie: Evidence of System Breakdown Everywhere!

  • Published on Jan 10, 2015
    Jan. 9, 2015 / Dr. Jim Willie

    System Wide Breakdown Now Evident in
    Oil Price breakdown / US Dollar breakup
    Eurozone Breakup (Greece may be allowed to exit EU to be followed later by Germany)
    -
    China / BRICS currencies fast replacing USD in Trade Settlements
    2015: The Year when Economic Reality hits like a ton of bricks
    lost control of the oil price, evidence of broken USDollar structure and dismantled Petro-Dollar linkage, with enormous imminent damage to the oil industry’s subprime shale bonds with an estimated volume of $2 trillion (far bigger than the mortgage subprime bonds)… the damage to Russia is minimal with unchanged Ruble-based income stream but stress on import prices mitigated by USTBond reserve sales, not Gold reserve sales (blatant US propaganda)… support from Europe for the US-UK-EU fascists is fast eroding, as sanctions dole out deep damage to the European national economies, while the USGovt resorts to terror cells in Paris and elsewhere in response to objections to US sanctions policy like French President Hollande did two days before the Paris attack… the USGovt is trying to annex Europe during the militarized conditions from the Ukraine War, folding presidential offices under the NATO Supreme Commander, while forcing the onerous TTIP trade pact… the entire movement will backfire, with major member nations leaving the EU and common Euro union, possibly using a Greek debt default as a backdoor trigger to pull the rug out from the Anglo-American banker control room… the isolation of the United States ramps up with increasing non-USD trade settlement, while China develops the AIIB investment bank, the NDB development fund, the CRA crisis fund, and the Silk Road fund, which together will support a giant BRICS gold central bank… as Eastern nations under the BRICS movement follow the non-USD trade model, and adopt the Gold Trade Note model, the global banking systems will no longer require USTreasury Bonds in their reserves structure… they will diversify out of them, causing the USGovt to launch a new Scheiss Dollar (devalued heavily) in order to guarantee import supply flow, while amplifying the QE volume as the dumped USTBonds are soaked up… the result will be shortage, inflation, chaos… the USGovt betrayed the Global Currency Reset Accord in January 2014 by offering a Ukraine War, then stealing their 33 tons gold (watch for news of Western role in human organ trafficking out of Ukraine)… hence the Gold Standard will return through the trade doors, and not the currency doors… this is Game Over for the USDollar as the End Game is obvious in systemic breakdown
    http://www.goldenjackass.com

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January 12, 2015 Posted by | Economics, GeoPolitics, Social Trends | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

The Road To (World) War With Russia! We’re Not Only On It, We’ve Already Arrived !

WW3 is near?

WW3 is near?

  • The Road To War With Russia! 
    by Chris Martenson, http://www.peakprosperity.com/ 
    We’re not only on it; we’ve already arrived
    For several weeks now the anti-Russian stance in the US press has quieted down. Presumably because the political leadership has moved its attention on to other things, and the media flock has followed suit. 
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    Have you read much about Ukraine and Russia recently?
    I thought not, despite the fact that there’s plenty of serious action — both there as well as related activity in the US — going on that deserves our careful attention.
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    As I recently wrote, the plunging oil price is a potential catalyst for stock market turmoil and sovereign instability. Venezuela is already circling the drain, and numerous other oil exporters are in deep trouble as they foolishly expanded their national budgets and social programs to match the price of oil; something that is easy to do on the way up and devilishly tricky on the way down.
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    But consider the impact on Russia. From the Russian point of view, everything from their plunging ruble to bitter sanctions to the falling price of oil are the fault of the US, either directly or indirectly. Whether that is fair or not is irrelevant; that’s the view of the Russians right now. So no surprise,  it doesn’t dispose them towards much in the way of good-will towards the West generally, and the US specifically.
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    The fall in the price of oil is creating serious difficulties economically and financially for Russia. We’ll get to those facets in a minute. But right now, I want to focus on the continued belligerence of the US towards Russia — some of which is overt and some of which, you can be certain, is covert — which could very well end up provoking a more kinetic and dangerous response than the West is prepared for.
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    Russia Forced To Act
    Before anyone jumps in to say “Why are you defending Putin? He’s a bad man”, let me just say that I have been closely analyzing each move by Russia and the West since then President of Ukraine Yanukovych declined to sign the European Association Agreement back in November of 2013. 
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    Based on the preponderance of evidence, its’ clear to me that the West/US deserve the lion’s share of the blame for the conflict that now rages with Ukraine and between Russia and the western world.
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    It was the West that supported the unsavory assortment of thugs, neo-Nazis, and ultra-nationalists that seized power in a coup from the democratically-elected Yanukovych.  We can argue all we want about whether he was a good boy or not, but that’s irrelevant and plays into the hands of those at the US State Department who would like to deflect attention away from the very non-democratic events (shaped behind the scenes by our influence) that led to his overthrow.
    ….
    We Not On A Road To War, We’ve Already Arrived
    If it looks like a war, acts like a war and smells like a war, it may just be a war.  The US has been waging economic, financial, trade, political and even kinetic war-by-proxy against Russia.  The only question is why?
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    From the perspective of Russians it seems clear that neocons are driving the US ship of state, and that they are simply not the sort of people with whom you negotiate in good faith or whom you trust.  The neocons believe they have the upper hand, they are part of the most powerful country on earth, and they never negotiate preferring to dictate.
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    The only problem is, the US is rapidly losing allies and friends the world over and it’s not nearly as powerful as it used to be, thanks to a profound failure to invest in itself (education, infrastructure, etc)
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    In Part 2: Why No One Should Want This To Devolve Further, we analyze the most likely responses the West’s bear-baiting will generate from Russia. The short story is this: in none of the outcomes will there be clear victors.
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    There is simply no good rationale for the geo-political risks being taken right now. Leaving us with the critical question: Why are we willing to let our leaders play nuclear “Russian roulette”, for stakes we don’t agree with?
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    read more!
http://lapostexaminer.com/nuclear-war-near-according-nobel-laureate/2014/10/10

Click on image for article!

http://www.globalresearch.ca/america-is-on-a-hot-war-footing-house-legislation-paves-the-way-for-war-with-russia/5418035

Click on image for article!

http://www.globalresearch.ca/green-light-to-war-on-russia-legislation-in-us-congress-say-no-to-war-with-russia-under-h-res-758-russian-aggression/5417489

Click on image for article!

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January 10, 2015 Posted by | GeoPolitics | , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Breaking Down The False Flag Event In Paris!

  • Published on Jan 8, 2015
    Get economic collapse news throughout the day visit http://x22report.com

    More news visit http://thepeoplesnewz.com
    Report date: 1.08.2015
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    UK manufacturing is collapsing. Central bankers continually threatening Greece on elections and a Greek exit from the EU. Many people being laid off. Retail stores closing. Obama explains how he is going to pump of the Real Estate bubble. Obama was misinformed on the Russia economy, low oil prices and sanctions will not collapse the economy. Ukraine is going deeper into debt. Russia trades fighter jets for food with Argentina. US placing F35’s permanently in Europe. The entire terrorist attack on Charlie Hebdo was a false flag event.

Alert_Condition_Red_false_flag_operations

http://www.guardian.co.uk/politics/2003/sep/27/uk.syria1

Click on image for article!

http://thinkprogress.org/politics/2008/07/31/26940/cheney-proposal-for-iran-war/

Click on image for article!

http://www.infowars.com/scandal-mass-media-censors-shocking-admission-of-turkish-false-flag/

Click on image for article!

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January 10, 2015 Posted by | Economics, GeoPolitics, Social Trends | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

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