Socio-Economics History Blog

Socio-Economics & History Commentary

The Great Dollar Dump: Russia Liquidates US Treasury Holdings

  • The Great Dollar Dump: Russia Liquidates US Treasury Holdings
    by https://www.rt.com/
    Russia is continuing to diversify state reserves away from US debt. The latest data from the US Treasury shows that Russia’s share hit an 11-year minimum and totaled only $14.9 billion.

    The share of US sovereign debt bonds in Russia’s portfolio has been reduced dramatically in recent months. Russia held $96.1 billion in US Treasuries in March before selling half its holdings in April, dropping to 22nd place among major foreign holders of American treasury securities at $48.7 billion.

    In 2010, Russia was among the top 10 holders of US Treasuries at $176.3 billion. With its holdings falling to $14.9 billion in May, the country is now below the $30 billion threshold for inclusion on the Treasury Department’s monthly report of major holders. On Tuesday, the Treasury released a list of 33 countries which includes the biggest holder China to the smallest Chile. Russia is no longer on the list.

    A treasury bond is a fixed-interest government debt security with a maturity of more than 10 years. Treasury bonds make interest payments twice a year. The gradual sell-off of US sovereign debt started in 2011, and has intensified over recent years amid numerous rounds of sanctions imposed by the White House against Russia.

    The head of the Central Bank of Russia (CBR) Elvira Nabiullina said in May that slashing of the holdings was result of the systematic assessment of all kinds of risks, including financial, economic and geopolitical.

    Meanwhile, Russia’s gold holdings have been steadily increasing, bringing its share of the precious metal to its highest level in nearly two decades. Russia’s gold holdings in May grew by one percent to 62 million troy ounces, worth $80.5 billion, according to the CBR. According to Nabiullina, gold purchases helped to diversify reserves.

    Global geopolitical conflicts along with trade tensions triggered by the US earlier this year have made some countries follow suit. Turkey nearly halved its US Treasury holdings from almost $62 billion in November to $32.6 billion in May. Germany has reduced its holdings from $86 billion in April to $78.3 billion in May.

    Asked about Russia’s absence, a US Treasury spokesman said the Treasury market is the deepest and most liquid in the world, and demand remains robust, reports Bloomberg. He added that the department doesn’t comment on individual investors or investments.

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July 19, 2018 Posted by | Economics | , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

COLLAPSE SCENARIO’S: Selling Your Gold, New Money, Valuations, Beneficiaries, Etc. Q&A with Lynette

  • ITM Trading Streamed live 5 hours ago
    Links and Slides: https://www.itmtrading.com/blog/colla…
    Question 1. Jay: When silver was approaching $18 spot price in the spring I attempted to unload some ounces at a local shop, but they had such a large volume of silver they weren’t offering spot rate buyback pricing, but instead giving me a rate of $3 less than the market value per oz! In a collapse scenario, what’s stopping shops, markets, etc, basically anyone and everyone from “naming their own price” when it comes to precious metal values?

    Question 2. David: When our $$$ resets are they going to print a new looking $

    Question 3. Tortoise62: Isn’t it true that bail in language addresses higher balances? Greece knew not to steal from the peasants as they incite chaos and violence. Are you really suggesting that the $500 checking account will be taken?

    Question 4. BeoWulf: ‘if’ gold goes to 5k/oz … silver to 100-200/oz, as suggested by many … is the ‘increase’ in value/cost/price because the metals actually have increased … OR, is that the indicator that the dollars value has dropped and it takes more de-valued dollars to buy that metal?

    Question 5. Larry: If the FED is printing all of this money who is the beneficiary? Who’s account is it going into? Who benefits from the trillion in their pocket? If the central banks of the world are buying all of these stocks who is going to be dumb enough to buy the QE off load? And if you want to know what to actually DO about all of this, that’s what we specialize in. How do you protect your wealth for the next collapse? Yes Gold and Silver, but what types? What strategy? And what long term plan? If you’re asking these questions you’re already ahead of the game. We’d love to assist you as it is our mission to safeguard you from the inevitable downfall of the dollar.

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July 18, 2018 Posted by | Economics | , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Jim Willie: Reset Has Begun (Now The US Must Do These Two Things AND Get 10,000 Tons Of Gold)

Remember the Golden Rule: “He who has the gold Rules!” © Reuters

  • Jim Willie: Reset Has Begun (Now The US Must Do These Two Things AND Get 10,000 Tons Of Gold)
    by Jim Willie of Golden Jackass, via https://www.silverdoctors.com/
    Gold Standard Requirements And Currency Crisis
    The United States has three requirements in returning to the Gold Standard. They will be extremely difficult to achieve. They each serve as essential requirements in a criterion. All three are urgently needed. The challenge is formidable for the nation to remain as a leading player in the global economy. The United States stands alone in volume of national debt. Many place the blame on the social net like welfare, Social Security, and other measures. However, the biggest element is clearly the military budget, hardly for defense in the last two decades. As CEO Jack Ma of Alibaba stated so succinctly, the USGovt has spent $25 trillion on the military with nothing to show for it except decayed infra-structure and global animosity for its aggression. A major item in recent years for the deficits has been Medicare, which is full of fraud and waste. Another major item is the raft of pensions like for government service, judicial service, and military service.

    REQUIREMENTS FOR THE GOLD STANDARD

    * Eliminate the $21 trillion USGovt deficit
    * Source 10,000 tonnes Gold to support the currency
    * Re-industrialize to work down $600 billion trade deficit

    Back in 2017, US President Trump commissioned a study to verify the status of the US gold reeserves. He and Vice President Pence, who led the study, were shocked to learn that the Fort Knox gold had been stolen. Of course, such a discovery never reaches the national news in broadcast or printed form. Thus the long delay in any conceivable effort to set up the $1 trillion infra-structure program promised during his campaign for office. The gears switched to locating and rescuing the stolen gold, with dirty fingers identified for ex-Presidents Papa Bush and Bill Clinton, along with the Wall Street crowd of criminals led by Robert Rubin. Rumors are ripe that the gold has been recovered, which also never reaches the controlled news networks. The eager await confirmation.

    GLOBAL RESET HAS BEGUN
    The Global Financial RESET has already begun. Many are the faces of the reset, especially with non-USDollar platforms. Two key events lie on the imminent horizon which will release the Gold price. A trusted superior reliable source has indicated that two key events are imminent. The Jackass guesses 1) the Deutsche Bank failure with Italian banking system collapse AND 2) the Gold Trade Note introduction with Chinese RMB interchangeability. Expect the Chinese Govt short-term bill to possibly be equivalent to the Gold Trade Note during an interim period, like for a caretaker role in transition. It will be used on oil payments. Expect the banking systems of Germany, France, and Italy all to enter a grand crisis. A list of potential key events is provided in the June Hat Trick Letter report. A second list of key disruptive additional events is provided. The QE official monetary policy has been a grand failure, keeping the big banks afloat, but while killing the main tangible economies in the process. The proof lies in the multi-year decline in Money Velocity, amidst supposed stimulus. Meanwhile, a long list of non-USD platforms has been developed for amplified usage. China has led the non-USD procedures, with the Belt & Road Initiative its primary banner. It boasts between $6 and $8 trillion in listed approved projects, all to be carried out without USDollar usage.


    read more.

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July 14, 2018 Posted by | Economics, GeoPolitics | , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Obliteration of FIAT CURRENCY Faith | Michael Pento

  • SilverDoctors Published on Jul 13, 2018
    On this week’s Metals & Markets Wrap we host money manager Michael Pento of Pento Portfolio Strategies. By late 2018, Michael believes we will see a watershed turn in the gold market. “One of the ramifications that is almost assured to happen (as a result of the next global financial crisis), is that the faith in fiat currencies will be obliterated.” This according to Michael is what will bring about heavy price inflations to come.

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July 14, 2018 Posted by | Economics | , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

THE GLOBAL TRIGGER: Are Trade Wars Just a Cover for Hyper-Inflation, Global Financial-Monetary Reset? by Lynette Zang

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July 13, 2018 Posted by | Economics, GeoPolitics | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

THE CRISIS SET UP: At Your Expense by Lynette Zang

  • ITM Trading Streamed live 5 hours ago
    Links and Slides: https://www.itmtrading.com/blog/crisi… 
    As regulations were being rolled back, six banks were told what they needed to do to pass the 2018 Stress Tests, and it only involved how much they could payout shareholders. Consequently, thirty-four out of thirty-five banks passed. Let the Payouts begin. Once that money has left the bank and transferred out to individuals and is no longer available for use during the next crisis. But YOUR wealth held intangibly, is. For the first quarter of 2018 global Central Banks increased their gold holdings by a whopping 42% YOY, the highest first quarter gold purchases since 2014, as the great recession continued to unfold. Could this surge in central bank gold buying telling us that the next crisis is right around the corner? Wouldn’t it make sense to follow their lead?

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July 12, 2018 Posted by | Economics | , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Has The PBOC Taken Control of The Gold “Market”? – Craig Hemke

  • Has The PBOC Taken Control of The Gold “Market”? – Craig Hemke
    by https://www.sprottmoney.com/
    The evidence is mounting, and we invite you to consider the implications. First, a few items of background information. Perhaps these are unrelated, perhaps they are not.

    * In 2013, a major Chinese conglomerate called Fosun International purchased One Chase Manhattan Plaza from JP Morgan: https://money.cnn.com/2013/10/18/news/china-jpmorg… Why would this be significant? Because it’s the same property that houses a massive underground gold vault … that just happens to be directly across the street from the New York Fed:https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2013-03-02/why-jpmo…

    * Next, ICBC (Industrial and Commercial Bank of China) purchased the lease of DeutscheBank’s massive London vaults in early 2016. ICBC then petitioned to join JPM, HSBC, Scotia, Barclays and UBS as a member of the London Daily Fix process: https://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/commodities/12…

    * Soon thereafter, ICBC also bought a massive London gold vault from Barclay’s:https://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/may/16/b…

    * Most recently, the World Gold Council announced the offering of a new gold ETF to supplement the existing GLD. The custodian of the gold for this new fund? You guessed it … ICBC:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/icbc-stan… 

    Fast forward to the summer of 2018. Two weeks ago, our fellow columnist here at Sprott Money, David Brady, wrote an insightful piece regarding a new correlation for the global gold price—the USDCNY—which is the exchange rate of US$ to Chinese yuan. Though the PBOC maintains a “peg” for this rate, the rate is allowed to fluctuate if the PBOC deems it necessary. Before we go on, I urge you to read David’s column:https://www.sprottmoney.com/Blog/gold-the-chinese-… 

    Now consider this. Since the PBOC began to actively devalue the yuan versus the dollar four weeks ago, the price of COMEX gold has tracked the yuan nearly tick-for tick. This is clearly shown on the chart below. We’ve taken the USDCNY and inverted it to CNYUSD. This is shown in candlesticks. The price of the Aug18 COMEX gold is represented as a blue line.

    read more.

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July 12, 2018 Posted by | Economics | , , , | Leave a comment

The Coming Global Monetary Reset

  • The Coming Global Monetary Reset
    by , https://monetary-metals.com/
    The Great Reset, Report 8 July 2018
    … This is what we think of when we hear someone say, “There will be a reset”. A reset is not a good thing. No one should look forward to it, and you certainly cannot profit from it. Not even from owning gold. Sure, those who don’t own gold may be worse off than those who do, but no one does well in a catastrophe like that.

    Keith saw a museum exhibit, displaying gold hoards dating from the time of the fall of Rome. It had been the gold of several very wealthy men (each hoard had hundreds or thousands of ounces of gold!) Yet it did not avail them. Those people either fled or died, and their gold was lost for 1,500 years. And rediscovered by workers who were excavating foundations for big buildings in the late 20th century.

    The monetary system is indeed headed towards this reset. We shouldn’t just wait passively for it, we should change course if possible. It is possible, but first, let’s look at what we can’t do.

    read more.
http://www.plata.com.mx/mplata/articulos/articlesFilt.asp?offset=10&fiidarticulo=281

Click on image for article.

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July 11, 2018 Posted by | Economics | , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Russell Napier: “Trade War Is The Beginning Of A New Global Monetary System”

  • Russell Napier: “Trade War Is The Beginning Of A New Global Monetary System”
    by Russell Napier of ERIC, via https://www.zerohedge.com/
    A Country Matures, An Exchange Rate Declines
    After two weeks on the road visiting clients your analyst returns with a better view of the consensus outlook. There is, though, much in the consensus to disagree with. In particular it seems peculiar that the consensus believes the democratically elected government of Italy, with policies entirely contrary to EU membership, will be put through the bureaucratic meat grinder in Rome and Brussels and turned into EU sausage, in a similar process that minced the political representatives of Greece.


    While this might well be the case, it is hard to understand that the grinding destruction of this democracy, even if it is only moderate compared to the Greek experience, can be anything but bad for growth and asset prices in the EU. Disciplining these politicians to abandon their manifesto promises and follow the ways of the EU is highly unlikely to be a painless experience, either for Italy or the rest of the EU. Nonetheless, investors are content to believe that a painless disciplining of Italy’s elected representatives is all but inevitable. We shall see.

    Perhaps the most prevailing consensus view is that the recent weakness of the RMB represents a Chinese counter-punch in the trade war with the US. 
    Coming when it does, it is easy to see the accelerated decline of the RMB as a tactical and not a strategic move. Comments by the PBOC on July 3rd have probably reassured many investors that the managed exchange rate regime is not at risk and that the RMB will continue to be managed against a basket of currencies. Your analyst does not agree.


    Readers of the Q2 2018 report (When Monetary Systems Fail – A Guide For The Cautious) will know why the decline of the RMB exchange rate is part of a larger change in the global monetary system. It is a change that is initially deflationary and accompanied by a likely credit crisis. Of course, such a breakdown has been close three times post-GFC with first the European debt crisis (2011-2012), the taper tantrum (2013) and in the commodity price collapse that ended with the so-called Shanghai Accord in Q1 2016. So it is not surprising that market participants believe that, once again, central bankers stand ready to stick their fingers in the dike that holds back the market forces of deflation associated with the end of the current global monetary system. The recent movements in the RMB show that Jay Powell’s refusal to join the shoring-up party has prompted a fundamental shift in Chinese monetary policy.

    Investors need to prepare for a formal widening of the trading bands for the RMB relative to its basket and the problems such a move will create for all emerging markets
    . That first move in the RMB is inherently deflationary. 
    This is no counter-punch in a trade war; it is the beginning of the creation of a new global monetary system.

    read more.

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July 7, 2018 Posted by | Economics | , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Jim Rickards: Gold Price Has Been Locked to SDRs and Global Monetary Reset is Under Way

Remember the Golden Rule: “He who has the gold Rules!”

  • Jim Rickards: Gold Price Has Been Locked to SDRs and Global Monetary Reset is Under Way
    by cpowell, http://www.gata.org/
    Dear Friend of GATA and Gold:

    GoldCore’s daily blog today reprints analysis by Jim Rickards in his latest Gold Speculator letter arguing that the great “global monetary reset” often speculated about is already underway, as indicated by the recent close correlation between the gold price and the International Monetary Fund’s super-currency, the Special Drawing Right, which began shortly after the IMF made the Chinese yuan a component of the basket of currencies composing the SDR. Since then, Rickards writes, the gold price, ordinarily volatile, has exhibited little volatility as priced in SDRs.

    Rickards writes: “In short, world money has now been pegged to gold at a rate of SDR 900 to 1 ounce of gold. It’s a new gold standard using the IMF’s world money. There’s the global monetary reset right in front of your eyes.”

    read more.

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July 7, 2018 Posted by | Economics | , , , , | Leave a comment

Gold $10,000 In Currency Reset As Russia China Gold Demand Overwhelms Gold Futures Manipulation

  • GoldCore Published on Jul 4, 2018
    – Is the currency reset or global monetary reset (GMR) upon us?
    – Russia sold half their Treasuries in April and bought 600k ozs of gold in May
    – China has stopped buying US Treasurys and PBOC is quietly accumulating gold bullion
    – China has over $3 trillion in foreign exchange reserves and Russia has $461 billion
    – Physical gold market is finite and tiny vis-à-vis the fx markets and bond markets
    – Tiny diversification into gold by the world’s creditor nations will end manipulation
    – Gold to be revalued much higher – possibly to $10,000/oz or higher
    – Time is of the essence and important to own gold bullion in safest way possible

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July 7, 2018 Posted by | Economics | , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Jim Willie: This Is The Ninth Inning

  • INTERVIEW WITH WILL LEHR OF PERPETUAL ASSETS
    by http://goldenjackass.com/main5.html
    July 5th:  topics covered include the assured failure of Deutsche Bank and the guaranteed collapse of the Italian banking system with French falling dominoes in contagion (WHICH IS CERTAIN TO FINALLY RELEASE THE GOLD  PRICE), the coming Gold Trade Note alongside the Petro-Yuan launch with a potential gold backing (ALSO TO RELEASE GOLD AS SECOND TRIGGER), Russia’s recent history battling the Deep State, the Elite & JPMorgan large-scale active hoarding of Silver, the true high price inflation for the economy which means a multi-year recession, the new technology rollout with Silver at the core, unintended consequences of failed USGovt sanctions, the ongoing German defiance of US-led Russian sanctions, the new RMB Hub at the Frankfurt Exchange, the role of Blockchain Technology in the Tokenized Economy

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July 6, 2018 Posted by | Economics, GeoPolitics | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

WhistleBlower Andrew Maguire: The Future For Precious Metals MANIPULATION!

July 6, 2018 Posted by | Economics | , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Something Bad Is Headed Our Way Central Bankers Are Ready To Control The Crash: L. Cammarosano

  • The key issue is: what is in it for the Illuminist banksters should they maintain the current system? If they maintain on their current path, who benefits? It definitely benefits Trump. The problem is, Trump is destroying their globalist institutions/agreements, namely: Global Warming Paris agreement, international trade order WTO, transatlantic NATO alliance, US withdrawal from UNHRC, fomenting the breakup of the EU, withdrawing from TPP/TTIP/NAFTA, encouraging nationalism, destroying the globalist MSM …..
  • The actions by Trump are setting back the Illuminati’s plan for a Luciferian New World Order, World Government led by the Anti-Christ. You cannot have a World Government where Trump-USA can just tell the Man of Sin to “Go jump into the lake! Take a hike!”.
  • At some point in time, the Illuminati banksters will pull the plug to thwart Trump. The only way to bring down America and make it subservient to a World Government (apart from Nuclear War) is to destroy the dollar. America as we know it must be destroyed and weakened tremendously so as to not pose a threat to the Luciferian plans.
http://www.stopthecrime.net/Henry-Makow---Illuminati----(2008).PDF

Click on image for pdf E-book.

http://www.stopthecrime.net/Henry-Makow---Illuminati----(2008).PDF

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July 5, 2018 Posted by | Economics, EndTimes, GeoPolitics | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Michael Pento: Gold Big Beneficiary in Coming October Market Crash?

  • Michael Pento: Gold Big Beneficiary in Coming October Market Crash?
    by Greg Hunter’s USAWatchdog.com 
    Money manager Michael Pento is sounding the alarm because we are getting very close to something called a “yield curve inversion.” Pento explains, “Why do I care if the yield curve inverts? Because 9 out of the last 10 times the yield curve inverted, we had a recession. . . . The spread with the yield curve is the narrowest it has been since outside of the start of the Great Recession that commenced in December of 2007. . . . The last two times the yield curve inverted, we had a stock market drop of 50%. The market dropped, and the S&P 500 lost 50% of its value.”


    Can we keep partying in the markets like it’s 1999 or is there an expiration date for the good times? Pento says, “Well, I have put a check on the calendar for October because of the fact the rate of quantitative easing goes to $15 billion per year, because the trade war will reach a crescendo, then because I believe, unfortunately because I am conservative, the Republicans lose the House of Representatives, because the Chinese credit boom will be in full reverse by October. It is a confluence of events coming in October . . . we’ve already entered into the beginnings of a bear market around the world. The top 22 banks in the world are in a bear market. There are many, many examples of banks around the world that are in a bear market. You have a bear market in Chinese shares. 20% of the S&P 500 is in a bear market. This is an incipient bear market that is already beginning. I believe it manifests clearly to even the people on CNBC by October.”

    Where is there going to be the biggest trouble? Pento says, “I have identified the nucleus of the next recession/depression to be corporate debt and not the housing market. We have a record amount of corporate debt outstanding right now. It is 45% of GDP. It has never ever been higher, but the quality of that debt . . . BBB, which is the lowest rung . . . of investment grade debt accounts for 50% of investment grade. The number of zombie companies is at a record high. . . . So, there is a record amount of debt, the quality of the debt is at a record low, and you have a record amount of companies just existing as zombies. They have to issue debt to pay back existing debt. . . . The amount of zombie companies is going to surge when we get the next recession. The amount of credit defaults is going to surge. . . . The construct of corporate debt is so dangerous that when we hit a recession, defaults are going to skyrocket like we have never seen before. You will be talking about the layoffs and the plunge in the market and economic growth on a global basis.”

    Pento also predicts, “The U.S. is not an island. The U.S. is not going to have 4% GDP growth while the rest of the world implodes. . . . I look at the data, and data says this is the most dangerous market ever. This is the most precarious GDP on a global basis that we have ever had. Global central banks have never before printed $12 trillion. . . . We have never before had that happen, and the reason why they did it is to take sovereign debt into zero and negative territory so we can go on this inflation quest so asset prices don’t implode. That is all turned on its head. They have reached their inflation and it’s starting to unwind, and this whole thing is going to collapse. When it collapses, the primary beneficiary is going to be the gold market. . . . You should always have 5% to 10%, and if you are waiting, you are running out of time to get it cheaply. . . . I don’t think there is much downside to buying physical gold here, and you are running out of time if you have no position at all.”

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July 5, 2018 Posted by | Economics | , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment