Socio-Economics History Blog

Socio-Economics & History Commentary

Alex Jones: Gulf Oil May Not Degrade for Decades!

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August 23, 2010 Posted by | Disaster | , , | 2 Comments

Holocaust Denier Death, Mossad Linked. How Many Jews Died in the German Concentration Camps?

  • Why are so many legitimate historians persecuted and suicided when they question the official holocaust history? This makes no sense at all. Truth fears no examination! History as propagated by the western MSM is but a set of lies agreed upon.  
     
  • How many died during the Holocaust? No one knows exactly. Institute of Historical Review, Carl O. Nordling (emphasis mine):
       
    How Many Jews Died in the German Concentration Camps?
    … It has been a common belief that about 6 million Jews died in these camps, intentionally killed in accordance with a grand program for the physical extermination of the entire Jewish population of Europe. Most laymen presume that this was proven by the International Military Tribunal at Nuremberg in 1946. The International Court did not prove anything of the sort, however, and historians who have dealt with contemporary German or Jewish history have long since modified this description in various degrees.
      ….
    In any case, the number of Jews missing in the German sphere turns out to be very far from the “established” figure of six million….. …Secondly, the Jewish “basic” population of about 2, 850, 000 couldn’t possibly have suffered a loss of something like six million. This figure should have been discarded long ago…
     ….
    Our general conclusion must be that the question posed in this article’s title cannot be answered with any precision as long as we have recourse only to the above-mentioned sources. The general magnitude was certainly half a million, but the actual number of Jews who died in the German concentration camps might well have been as low as 300,000 or as high as 600,000.  …

     
    ‘Holocaust denier death, Mossad linked’  
    American writer JP Bellinger dose not rule out the the involvement of Israeli spy agency, Mossad, in the tragic death of a Polish historian, who was researching on the Holocaust. Dariusz Ratajczak, a former professor at the University of Opole, was found dead in a car parked near a shopping center in Opole on June 11, 2010.
     
    Forensic reports indicated that the body was in the car for nearly two weeks, but was in an advanced state of decay, suggesting that it was moved to car long after Ratajczak’s death. “After being questioned, a number of witnesses told the police that the car had only recently been parked there,” Bellinger wrote in his article.
     
    “Professor Ratajczak’s death was ruled a ‘suicide,’ but skeptical people, perhaps bearing in mind the recent arrest of a Mossad assassin operating in Poland, are asking how a person in an advanced staged of composition was able to drive to a public parking lot and park a car?” he inquired.
     
    He was referring to Uri Brodsky, Mossad agent accused of helping fake a German passport that was used by one of the members of a hit squad involved in the killing of Mahmoud al-Mabhouh, a senior Hamas commander, in a Dubai hotel in January.
     
    Bellinger went on to say that Ratajczak’s troubles began with the publication of his booklet, “Dangerous Topics,” in March 1999 for which he was convicted of Holocaust denial in Poland.
     
    “What possesses greater intrinsic value? Maintaining the mainstream version of the Holocaust at any cost or the life of a single human being whose only offence was to engage in historical research in a quest for the truth?”
     
    Ratajczak believed it was not possible to kill millions of people in the Nazi gas chambers — a view that provoked a firestorm of criticism among his contemporaries and Israelis lobbies.
     
    Michael Sobelman, the spokesman the Israeli Embassy in Poland, accused Ratajczak of anti-Semitism and expressed “surprise” that “such a man works at a Polish university.” Sobelman’s comment preceded Ratajczak’s expulsion from the University of Opole.
     
    Ratajczak believed that charge of anti-Semitism had become a sort of exceptionally brutal weapon, which the “establishment” uses ruthlessly against independent thinking men.
     
    “What hurts me most is that I found myself in a group of historians who have been muzzled. After all, please see: from 45 years to now the number of Jews murdered in Auschwitz-Birkenau has dropped from six million to less than one million. It’s official data. Indeed, even if they had killed one man, that would be a tragedy. But how is it that some historians may legitimately question the numbers of the Holocaust, and others can not? How is it that some people can reduce the six million to less than a million and nothing bad is happening to them? How is it that some people are not allowed to examine this subject and even be wrong, while other historians are allowed all this?” Ratajczak commented.
     
    Bellinger says disturbing news of Ratajczak’s death shocked some traditionalist and patriotic organizations in Poland, and concludes by asking, “Is questioning the holocaust, or holocaust ‘denial’ of more intrinsic worth than the life of any human being?”
     
  • See also:
     
    The “Holocaust” in the Memoirs of Western WWII Leaders Eisenhower, De Gaulle, and Churchill
    NY Times reports in 1906 that Russia’s “6,000,00 jews” facing a final “solution” of “systematic and murderous extermination”
    Jews at NY Times refer to “European holocaust” of Jews in 1936, several years before alleged “mass killings”
    The Kabalistic-Occult origins and purpose of the Holocaust™ dogma, and the 6 million number
    Holocaust Memoir Turns Out to Be Fiction
    Herman Rosenblat’s Holocaust memoir of love is exposed as a hoax

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August 23, 2010 Posted by | History, Social Trends | , | 6 Comments

Google’s Plans to Take Over The Internet Exposed!!

August 23, 2010 Posted by | Social Trends | , | 1 Comment

Even Tony Robbins Is Warning of Coming Economic Collapse! Within 3-6 Months??

August 23, 2010 Posted by | Economics | , , , , | Comments Off on Even Tony Robbins Is Warning of Coming Economic Collapse! Within 3-6 Months??

Scott Horton Debunking Propaganda Against Iran! Iran Is NOT A Nuclear Threat!

August 23, 2010 Posted by | GeoPolitics | , , , , | Comments Off on Scott Horton Debunking Propaganda Against Iran! Iran Is NOT A Nuclear Threat!

President Ronald Reagan’s (1987) Speech About UFO Alien Invasion At United Nations !

Ronald_Reagan_Alien_Invasion_Threat

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August 23, 2010 Posted by | EndTimes, Social Trends | , , , , , , | 12 Comments

Rethinking Gold: What if It Isn’t a Commodity After All?

Gold is money for 5000+ years!

  • Gold has always been money and will always be money. The corporate Illuminists owned MSM wants you to think otherwise. So, it attacks gold incessantly. Gold is going to go on a rampage against all fiat currencies soon! The FedRes and the ECB will initiate massive QE2.0 soon. Bob Chapman thinks it will be US$5T of QE2.0 and he knows better than most people.
     
    Rethinking Gold: What if It Isn’t a Commodity After All?
    This won’t sit well with some people: Gold isn’t a commodity. There. I’ve said it. But before you fire off an angry response, hear me out. The facts might change your view of gold’s role in a portfolio.
     
    For a long time, we’ve all heard that gold is a commodity—no different, really, from silver or wheat or pork bellies. Its price ebbs and flows (supposedly) with inflation, which historically drives commodity prices.
     
    Odd, then, that gold’s elevated price hasn’t fallen in response to tepid U.S. inflation numbers. The Consumer Price Index as of July pegged inflation at just 1.2% for the previous 12 months, not counting seasonal adjustments. Nor has gold reacted to what Mohamed El-Erian, Pimco’s chief executive, recently called “the road to deflation” on which he sees the U.S. traveling.
      
    The conventional wisdom holds that neither of those scenarios—low inflation or deflation—should be good for gold. And yet it refuses to abandon record highs in the $1,200-an-ounce range. Something seems amiss.
     
    I recently asked research firm Ibbotson Associates to run a correlation study to determine how closely inflation and gold-price movements track each other. You would expect gold, as a purported commodity, and inflation to move in tandem.
     
    The data, going back to 1978 and capturing an inflationary spike, shows a correlation of, at most, 0.08. That is low. Really low. Perfect correlation is 1; at minus-1, two assets move in perfect opposition. Near 0 implies gold and inflation barely acknowledge one another, and moves in unison are largely happenstance. So if inflation doesn’t push and pull at gold prices, what might it be? If you believe correlation studies, the answer is the U.S. dollar.
     
    Going back to 1973—a period that defines the modern, non-gold-backed dollar—the greenback’s movements closely track gold’s direction. The correlation between month-end gold prices and the Major Currencies Dollar Index, as reported by the Federal Reserve, is minus-0.45.
     
    That clearly is a stronger correlation than you find with inflation. But let’s take this a bit further. Let’s shorten the time frame to the period from gold’s 1980 peak to today. The result: Over the past 30 years, the correlation between the dollar and gold is minus-0.65—a high negative correlation. It means the dollar and gold are effectively on opposite ends of a seesaw. When the dollar is in favor, gold retreats. When it is under pressure, gold prices swell.
     
    Look at the nearby chart. It is like a photo of a mountain scene reflected in a tranquil lake. The rises and falls and horizontal meanderings of gold are nearly the negative of the dollar’s. The implication is that gold isn’t a commodity—at least not one that hews to the definition of something that people and industry consume.
     
    Instead, “gold is a currency” whose daily price is a gauge of the market’s concern about the “potential diminishment” of the purchasing power of the dollar and other paper currencies, says Paul Brodsky, a principal at New York’s QB Asset Management.
      
    If he is correct, it is the potential longer-term weakening of the dollar that is the real issue for the gold market, not inflation or deflation. Some will note rightly that gold’s record spike came amid the last great inflation surge. Those folks might be misreading the tea leaves.
     
    Gold’s four-year rally beginning in summer 1976 happened amid a four-year dollar decline. When the dollar bucked up at the end of 1980, gold prices retreated. Inflation was more of a sideshow than a driving force. The question, with gold hanging around the $1,200 level, isn’t “Is gold in a bubble?” as so many are asking. It’s “What next for the dollar?”
     
    Since its separation from gold, the dollar has been in a long downtrend, punctuated by periodic strength. The Fed’s Major Currencies Dollar Index is down 27% since 1973, and down 45% since the dollar’s peak in early 1985.
     
    For investors convinced U.S. lawmakers and central bankers will successfully manage the budgetary woes and the massive unfunded liabilities of Social Security and Medicare, then gold is overvalued in the long term. Righting America’s national balance sheet would explicitly raise the dollar’s value as investors with money abroad move assets into a more-sound American economy. The selling of euro, yen and pounds would push the dollar higher—and gold lower.
     
    If, however, you worry the U.S. balance sheet is irreparably damaged, then gold currently reflects the likelihood that a weak-dollar trend still has years to run as the U.S. struggles with its financial mess. Investors—and consumers—looking to preserve their purchasing power will gravitate toward gold, since its quantity isn’t easily manipulated.
     
    Invest in gold, then, according your beliefs about the future of the greenback. Just don’t invest based on the idea that gold is a proxy for inflation. You are likely to be played for a fool.

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August 23, 2010 Posted by | Economics | , , , , , , | Comments Off on Rethinking Gold: What if It Isn’t a Commodity After All?

The Age of Treason: 1958 Book Exposes Chemical Attack on Humanity!

  • Most people live in an imaginary world. This is a world crafted by the Illuminati where truths are sold as lies, as mythology and conspiracy theories… Lies are sold as reality, terrorists are victims and righteous heroes and victims are terrorists. Reality is an illusion and fiction movies and stories reflect the truth. The sheeple do not understand, we are all under constant attack of the mind and body.
     
  • Christians are pretty naive. My observations are that most do not live in the real world. Satan is just a concept, a personification of evil. Most Christians do not believe he exists and his minions rule the world. Of course, when asked everyone will say the politically correct statement: ‘Satan exist and this is the end times’. When probed further, you realize that what they say has no basis in their perception of the real world. I should know I was one of them.
     
  • We all have perception filters whereby our mind ‘see’ the world. This perception of reality filter is where the devil does a lot of his work. Mass conditioning, psychological programming and behavioral mind control are used everyday by the Illuminati to control the sheeple. The sheeple do not understand that what they think is the truth is a bunch of lies to manipulate their behavior and beliefs.
     
  • I see the world as it is, not what I want it to be. I take the bible literally and use it as a guide, a perception filter, to ‘see’ reality. Unless, I see the plans laid out by Satan for a One World Financial System, One World Currency–>666, you cannot convince me this is the end times. Quite obviously, I have shown you in numerous posts, this is the case. A Satanic cabal controlling the privately owned central banking cartel are executing their plans toward this end.
     
  • Similarly, these Illuminati ruling elites have built thousands of Deep Underground (Military) Bases (DUMBs) in preparation for a final conflict against Jesus Christ (Isaiah 2 : 17 – 21 , Revelation 6 : 15 – 17 ). Some of these are underground cities 4-5 square miles in size! Where do you think the missing trillions of Pentagon funds have gone to? See: Rumsfeld 2.3 Trillion Dollars missing Pentagon 1 DAY b4 9-11 .
     
  • I have highlighted the deliberate poisoning of the populace using fluoride, Bisphenol A, phyto-estrogen compounds, vaccines, aspartame, GM grains….etc. Many people still think this is just an honest mistake by well-meaning but incompetent people. I don’t think so! At the highest level, most large corporations are Illuminist owned. There is every intention of dumbing down the sheeple, poisoning them, shortening their lives, depopulation, genocide, attacking their physical, mental health and moral values. Males are deliberately being ‘feminized’ ! Conflict is deliberately sown by undermining the relationship between men and women. The feminist woman liberation movement is engineered by Illuminists.
     
  • I may sound like a nut case to you. But before you dismiss what I say, read all my hard evidence! Don’t be naive! Grow up!
     
    The Age of Treason: 1958 Book Exposes Chemical Attack on Humanity
    Dr. R. Swinburne Clymer was in many ways a man ahead of his time, and most certainly controversial. He was attacked by the medical establishment for connecting diet with disease and mental health in his 1917 book Dietetics. Dr. Clymer received his medical degree in 1902 from the College of Medicine and Surgery in Chicago and began practicing Osteopathy. Accusations of fraud surround Dr. Clymer’s career, including this 1923 edition of the Journal of the American Medical Association which claims that, “Our records fail to show that this man was ever regularly graduated by any reputable medical college.” What Clymer had to say more than likely had something to do with the denouncement that he received from the medical establishment.
     
    Though Dr. Clymer may be surrounded with controversy, his 1958 book Your Health and Sanity in the Age of Treason exposes toxic food additives and fluoride with documentation – the majority of which are mainstream scientific studies – that can be verified many times over. What makes this book unique is the fact that Dr. Clymer was one of the first to point out that statements by the elite indicated that these toxins were to be deliberately released “…for the mental deterioration and moral debasement of the mass…”
      
    The book is appropriately subtitled; Food and Liquids Used as a Medium in Deliberately and Carefully Planned Methods Developed by the Vicious Element of Humanity, for the Mental Deterioration and Moral Debasement of the Mass, as a Means Toward Their Enslavement.”
     
    Dr. Clymer introduces readers with a stark warning for the future, writing, “Imagine yourself if you can, becoming conscious that you are gradually losing your manhood; that your mind is rapidly deteriorating so that you are no longer capable of thinking clearly; unable to plan your future actions. Your resistance is becoming so weakened that you are no longer master of yourself. In short, you are rapidly developing into a moron, a robot, a zombie, readily subject to the dictates of others…”
     
    Bertrand Russell’s 1953 book The Impact of Science on Society is cited by Clymer as one example of the elite’s desire to dominate the masses. Russell stated that under scientific tyranny, “Diet, injections, and injunctions will combine, from a very early age, to produce the sort of character and the sort of beliefs that the authorities consider desirable, and any serious criticism of the powers that be will become psychologically impossible.”
     
    Diethylstilbestrol – Endocrine Disruption
    Dr. Clymer identified the synthetic estrogen Diethylstilbestrol – developed in 1938 – as a means to achieve the aims of the elite. Clymer explains that some of the toxic additives discussed in the book may not have been employed for the express purpose outlined by the elite, but “…they served their purpose admirably…” Dr. Clymer elaborates,
     
    “The employment of Stilbestrol by the laity with absolutely no knowledge of the dangerous agent they are employing, in conditioning chickens and meats, is mass medication without license, with a dangerous toxic drug that may have universal disastrous results on all who eat such adulterated foods. This is especially true as it concerns children, youths, young women and men, resulting as it may, in their sterilization or cancer – something fervently hoped for by the enemies of mankind.”
     
    Because Stilbestrol is a synthetic chemical, “…the natural protective activity of the bodily organs are ineffective in prohibiting harmful results. Natural Estrogen, on the other hand, is decomposed, and any of its possible harmful effects may be more or less made ineffective,” writes Dr. Clymer. Stilbestrol was used as a treatment for various types of cancer and menopausal symptoms, but as Dr. Clymer states, “Physicians versed in the use of Endocrines agree generally that Stilbestrol is a dangerous drug in all except experienced hands.”
     
    Dr. E. Malcolm Stokes, in an article published in the Western Journal of Surgery, Obstetrics and Gynecology, September 1948, wrote: “Single large doses of [natural] estrogen substances are quickly excreted… long continued, repeated administration in relatively small doses [as in daily consumption of meats permeated with stilbestrol] may intensify tissue response to the hormone.”
     
    Dr. Clymer warns that such chemicals are to feminize men,
     
    “Every vigilant human being should be concerned with several important factors involved: The methods or means by which it is possible to change man’s characteristics as easily as the animal’s. Man is a warrior by nature, the protector of his family, and his own rights and privileges; an individual, a free man… A being who has wrought great things and who, if not interfered with, will do even greater things. This being is to be turned into a lesser female; unable, even unwilling, to defend himself, much less his family or country; becoming a slave…”
     
    Dr. Clymer’s concerns over Stilbestrol have been vindicated over time, as the chemical has been phased out of use as a growth hormone in the late 1970’s due to concerns over cancer. Additionally, in 1971 the FDA advised physicians to
    stop prescribing Stilbestrol to pregnant women due to high cancer risk. The drug is no longer being manufactured as of 1997.
     
    Flashforward – Bisphenol A
    Today there are continuing concerns as substantial levels of Bisphenol A (BPA) have been found in a large percentage of the western world’s population. Like Diethylstilbestrol, BPA is a synthetic estrogen with similar to identical effects on the human body. BPA is perhaps a much larger threat due to the fact that unlike Stilbestrol – which was primarily consumed in meats – it is found in many household products, including the food we eat.
    A recent study from the Canadian Health Measures Survey found that over 90% of Canadians have detectable concentrations of BPA in their urine. Studies conducted by the CDC found Bisphenol A in the urine of 95% of adults sampled in 1988–1994 and in 93% of children and adults tested in 2003–04. Other studies have shown that Bisphenol A causes feminization of males and reduced sperm count.
     
    As Dr. Frederick vom Saal states in this local Fox News report, levels of BPA below a trillionth of a gram have been found to alter cell function and growth. Additionally, BPA was found to feed cancer cell growth and impact the reproductive system of rats.
      
    Fluoride
    Yet another danger to human health and well being identified by Dr. Clymer is Sodium Fluoride. Fluoride, we are told, is placed in the water supply to help protect our teeth from decay. Today some are proposing that fluoride and other forms of mass medication
    will serve as a means of “Cognitive Enhancement.” In his expose of fluoride, Dr. Clymer quotes Rene M. Vale, a former Communist and party worker in her book Red Court, published in 1952. She writes,
     
    “In regions of the country where resistance was most apt to develop we saw to it that virus diseases struck, and when antibiotics threatened our program, we devised other means of vitiating the populace. Fluoridation of drinking water was found to be about the most successful…”
     
    Dr. Charles E. Perkins, who Dr. R. Swinburne Clymer was in personal contact with, was, “… sent by the United States Government to help take charge of the I. G. Farben chemical plants in Germany at the end of the second world war. What follows are quotations from a letter which Mr. Perkins wrote to the Lee Foundation for Nutritional Research, Milwaukee, Wisconsin, dated October 2, 1954.”
     
    Mr. Perkins letter states,
     
    “The German chemists worked out a very ingenious and far-reaching plan of mass control which was submitted to and adopted by the German General Staff. This plan was to control the population in any given area through mass medication of drinking water supplies. By this method they could control the population of whole areas, reduce population by water medication that would produce sterility in women and so on. In this scheme of mass control, sodium fluoride occupied a prominent place.
     
    “We are told by the ideologists who are advocating the fluorination of water supplies in this country that their purpose is to reduce the incidence of tooth decay in children, and it is the plausibility of this excuse, plus the prominence of those who are responsible for the present spread of artificial water fluoridation in this country.
     
    “However – and I want to make this very definite and very positive – the real reason behind fluorination is not to benefit children’s teeth. If this were the real reason there are many ways in which it could be done that are much easier, cheaper and far more effective.
    The real purpose behind water fluoridation is to reduce the resistance of the masses to domination and control and loss of liberty…
     
    “I was told of this entire scheme by a German chemist who was an official of the great Farben chemical industries and was also prominent in the Nazi movement at the time…”
     
    Dr. Clymer additionally cites a 1956 letter written by the then New York Water Commissioner Arthur C. Ford (available in full
    here). In the letter, Ford speaks out openly against fluorides as “…extremely toxic substances…” Ford writes,
     
    “We are aware that the fluorides are extremely toxic substances, and evidence exists to show that even at the recommended level of one part per million of fluoride in drinking water, people in fluoridated communities have been harmed.
     
    We know of reputable, independent medical authorities throughout the United States and in the local area who have found evidence of fluoride damage to persons living in fluoridated communities. These medical authorities disagree with the fluoride hypothesis, and they have raised grave questions with respect to the safety of the procedure for an entire population which includes the young, the old, the susceptible and the infirm as well as the healthy.
     
    Fluoride, besides being a toxic substance, is not all excreted when taken into the system, a significant percentage remaining cumulatively. Fluoridation of the drinking water at any level of concentration is a very indiscriminate procedure, since children drink widely varying amounts of water…”

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August 23, 2010 Posted by | EndTimes, Medicine & Health, Social Trends | , , , , | 3 Comments

Warning! Warning! Hindenburg Stock Market Crash Omen Confirmed !

Confirmed Stock Market Crash Hindenburg Omen 20 Aug 2010!

  • I do not use purely technical indicators. But I have always found them very useful. Being mathematically and statistically inclined, I am always on the lookout for strange statistical anomalies. The Hindenburg technical omen is one hell of an indicator to shrug off. See also earlier post: Ginormous Economic, Financial And Monetary Tsunami Coming! Martial Law?! 24 Experts Warn of 2010 Meltdown! Armageddon 2010!
     
  • The snakes are preparing for a major economic event. This will be a worldwide collapse followed by world war. They can scheme all they like but they are not God. Take their threats seriously but know that they may not get to have things all their way. Here are some  indications on what they have planned:
     
    The financial collapse and economic depression will happen by the end of this coming September, maybe a little sooner. After that, the war with Iran. Please understand, both the western governments and the government of Iran want this war. So do the born agains. Once you beat the drum and wave a flag the sheeple come scurrying to their shepherds. Like blowflies, people love birthday parties and battlefields. Old Henry and his people have been working hard behind the scenes. And we will make sure that the sheeple get what they want – good and hard.
      
    When the economic turmoil hits will the sheeple still doubt? Just so you know, there will be a cover story about a virulent computer virus which will necessitate the banks of the world closing (for about three days?). When these re-open it will be back to the 1930s where depositors must prove why they need their money. The more things change, the more things stay the same. Just remember I told you so.
     
    The economic collapse will be this year – 2010! I’m still awaiting word as to whether it will be sooner or later. When it happens we’re talking days, not weeks. Kazuhiko-san .. has contacts who have advised that the Japanese economy is doomed – bet you didn’t hear that on your free, independent media. When I last spoke to Nicholson he told me that the Bank of England has huge investments in the banking systems of Portugal, Italy, Greece and Spain. You work it out. We have our global currency ready. We’re about to move. It’ll be micro-chipped just like New Zealand drivers’ licenses. … And after the culling, you will lick the hand which feeds you.  
      
    One world government is actually closer than even you suspect. The sheeple won’t notice much difference. The Alpha Lodge will continue to pull the strings until the coming of Vindex. ….The recent report of the ‘stress test’ of European banks paints a rosy picture, so I guess that there’s no need to worry. I guess that there’ll be no global economic depression after all. I suppose that the economies of Portugal, Italy, Ireland, Greece and Spain are healthier than I predicted. But when the banks close and the international economy dies before your readers’ eyes, they will know that I provided the truth …. When their governments take off their velvet gloves and smash with their iron fists understand that the Usher is near, preparing the way for Vindex.
     
  • Svali, the Ex. German Illuminati who turned to Christ, have similarly confirmed a few years ago, the Illuminati plan of a Great Economic Depression followed by war.
     
    …I was told it would make the Great Depression look like Sunday school. And at that time, it’s going to… they’re going to really be manipulating finances to bring about chaos, confusion, warfare, and then…’
      
    ‘The Illuminati has planned first for a financial collapse that will make the great depression look like a picnic. This will occur through the maneuvering of the great banks and financial institutions of the world, through stock manipulation, and interest rate changes. Most people will be indebted to the federal government through bank and credit card debt, etc. The governments will recall all debts immediately, but most people will be unable to pay and will be bankrupted. This will cause generalized financial panic which will occur simultaneously worldwide, as the Illuminists firmly believe in controlling people through finances.
     
    Next there will be a military takeover, region by region, as the government declares a state of emergency and martial law. People will have panicked, there will be an anarchical state in most localities, and the government will justify its move as being necessary to control panicked citizens. The cult trained military leaders and people under their direction will use arms as well as crowd control techniques to implement this new state of affairs. ….The Illuminists expect this and will be (and are BEING) trained in how to deal with this eventuality. They are training their people in hand-to- hand combat, crowd control, and, if necessary, will kill to control crowds. The Illuminati is training their people to be prepared for every possible reaction to the takeover.’
     
  • The probability is very high for a market crash. I am still pretty much divided as to whether the market will rally very much higher (due to massive QE) after this crash event or whether it will follow the 1929-1933 route, ie down down down.  There is every indication that the USD will be debased. Will investors flee to stock (as hard assets) or will they abandon both stock and treasuries and flee only to commodities and precious metals. One thing for sure gold is headed alot higher!
     
    Hindenburg Stock Market Crash Omen Confirmed
    So what is a Hindenburg Omen? It is the alignment of several technical factors that measure the underlying condition of the stock market — specifically the NYSE — such that the probability that a stock market crash occurs is higher than normal, and the probability of a severe decline is quite high. This Omen has appeared before all of the stock market crashes, or panic events, of the past 25 years. All of them. No panic sell-off (greater than 15 percent) occurred over the past 25 years without the presence of a Hindenburg Omen. Another way of looking at it is, without a confirmed Hindenburg Omen, we are pretty safe. But we have an official Hindenburg Omen as of August 20th, 2010.
      
    We got a second official confirmed Hindenburg Omen observation Friday, August 20th, 2010 after getting a first observation Thursday, August 12th, 2010, meaning we are now on the clock watching for a stock market crash. There is a much higher than normal probability of a stock market crash starting sometime over the next four months. All criteria were met Friday. August 20th’s observation saw
    83 NYSE New 52 Week Highs, and 95 NYSE New 52 Week Lows according to the Wall Street Journal, the lower of the two coming in at 2.64 percent, above the 2.2 percent threshold required for a Hindenburg Omen observation. Total NYSE issues traded were 3,143. New Highs were not more than twice New Lows, the McClellan Oscillator was negative at negative -106.46, and the 10 Week Moving Average is rising. This second observation on August 20th has occurred within the required 36 day period necessary for a cluster (two or more observations) to occur.
     
    The details for the August 12th, 2010 first observation are as follows: Both NYSE New 52 Week Highs (92) and New 52 Week Lows (81) exceeded 2.2 percent of NYSE traded issues (3,168). The McClellan Oscillator was negative -120.03, and the 50 Day Moving Average was Rising. New 52 Week Highs were not more than twice New 52 Week Lows.
    Now that we have a second observation, we have an official confirmed Hindenburg Omen. This is the first Hindenburg Omen since 2008, which of course led to the massive stock market crash in the autumn 2008, and the third since the Bear Market started in 2007 (we got one in 2007, one in 2008 and maybe we will get one here in 2010). We got crashes after both the October 2007 and June 2008 Hindenburg Omens.
     
    We did get a “rounded” third Hindenburg Omen observation Thursday, August 19th, 2010, where the lower of New Highs and Lows came in at 2.18 percent, which is just shy of the required 2.2 percent level, but rounds up to 2.20. Rather than include this as an observation with an asterisk, we are just counting the two from August 12th andAugust 20th to avoid controversy. The point is, we have an official confirmed Hindenburg Omen with at least two observations at this time, and no asterisk.
     
    The way Peter Eliades put it in his Daily Update, September 21, 2005 (www.stockcycles.com), “The rationale behind the indicator is that, under normal conditions, either a substantial number of stocks establish new annual highs or a large number set new lows — but not both.” When both new highs and new lows are large, “it indicates the market is undergoing a period of extreme divergence — many stocks establishing new highs and many setting new lows as well. Such divergence is not usually conducive to future rising prices. A healthy market requires some semblance of internal uniformity, and it doesn’t matter what direction that uniformity takes. Many new highs and very few lows is obviously bullish, but so is a great many new lows accompanied by few or no new highs. This is the condition that leads to important market bottoms.”
      …..
    So to recap, we have an unconfirmed Hindenburg Omen if the first four conditions are met, but the fifth is not — in other words we only have one signal within a 36 day period. Once a second or more Omen occurs, we then have a confirmed Hindenburg Omen signal with substantially higher odds that a subsequent stock market plunge is coming.
     
    Our research noted that plunges can occur as soon as the next day, or as far into the future as four months. In either case, the warning is useful. It just means, if you want to play the short side after a confirmed signal, or move out of harms way, you must be prepared to see it happen as soon as the next day, or four months from now, possibly after you forgot about it. About half occurred within 41 days.
     
    Based upon the five parameters noted above, here’s what we found: Confirmed Hindenburg Omens are very rare. There have been only 27 confirmed Hindenburg Omen signals over the past 25 years. June 16th, 2008’s was the 27th. This is amazing when you consider that during that time span, there were roughly 6,300 trading days. Of those 6,300 trading days where it was possible to generate a confirmed official Hindenburg Omen, only 191 (3.0 percent) generated one, clustering into 27 confirmed potential stock market crash signals.
     
    If we define a crash as a 15% decline, of the previous 27 confirmed Hindenburg Omen signals, eight (29.7 percent) were followed by financial system threatening, life-as-we-know-it threatening stock market crashes. Three (11.1 percent) more were followed by stock market selling panics (10% to 14.9% declines). Four more (14.8 percent) resulted in sharp declines (8% to 9.9% drops). Six (22.2 percent) were followed by meaningful declines (5% to 7.9%), four (14.8 percent) saw mild declines (2.0% to 4.9%), and two (7.4 percent) were failures, with subsequent declines of 2.0% or less. Put another way, there is a 30 percent probability that a stock market crash — the big one — will occur after we get a confirmed (more than one in a cluster) Hindenburg Omen. There is a 40.8 percent probability that at least a panic sell-off will occur. There is a 55.6 percent probability that a sharp decline greater than 8.0 % will occur, and there is a 77.8 percent probability that a stock market decline of at least 5 percent will occur. Only one out of roughly 13 times will this signal fail.
     
    All the biggies over the past 25 years were preceded and identified by this signal (as defined with our five conditions). It was on the clock just before the stock market crash of the autumn of 2008. It was present and accounted for a few weeks before the stock market crash of 1987, was there three trading days before the mini crash panic of October 1989, showed up at the start of the 1990 recession, warned about trouble a few weeks prior to the L.T.C.M and Asian crises of 1998, announced that all was not right with the world after Y2K, telling us early 2000 was going to see a precipitous decline. The Hindenburg Omen gave us a three month heads-up on 9/11 (2001), and told us we would see panic selling into an October 2002 low, warned in October 2007 that a multi-month 16 percent plunge was about to start, from the DJIA’s all-time high. And it was on the clock three months before the stock market crash of the autumn 2008 into spring 2009 that wiped out 47.3 percent of the stock market’s value. 
      ….
    What does it mean for traders and investors when we get a confirmed Hindenburg Omen? This is really important to understand. A confirmed Hindenburg Omen is not a guarantee of a stock market crash. The odds of a crash based upon the history since 1985 is 29.7 percent. That means the odds we will not have a crash are quite high, at 70.3 percent. However, since a stock market crash is akin to economic death in many circles, you can look at the situation like this. If you were hearing from your doctor that the surgury you are contemplating stands a 30 percent chance of you dying, that becomes a very high percentage probability – one you likely do not want to take if the surgury is not absolutely necessary. A 30 percent probability of a stock market crash is extremely high when you consider that there have been only eight over the past twenty-five years, and the normal odds of a crash happening randomly are only about one-tenth of one percent. You now also have to factor that the Fed is pumping liquidity to prevent crashes once these signals occur. So you do not want to go short the farm. You may want to think about taking prudent precautionary action according to your investment advisor given the much higher than normal odds of a crash. That may not mean shorting. It may mean increasing cash positions or hitting the sidelines for a while. Or it may mean a carefully constructed shorting strategy developed with your advisor that limits losses, and invests only the amount which you can afford to lose. Still, it is interesting that even with the heavy liquidity the Fed has been pumping around the time of the past two signals,
    the odds of a 5 percent decline or more remain pretty high at 77.8 percent.
     
    We do not think it is wise to listen to folks who minimize the risk in markets pointed out by the Hindenburg Omen. We disagree with the argument that since so many of the listings on the NYSE, especially those of the New High “stock” group recorded for the Omen, are some type of Fixed Income product (ETFs, preferred stocks, etc) that the Omen isn’t really capturing “stocks” when it says “we got x % New Stock Highs,” therefore the Omen is irrelevant. Our position is that the argument that the “stock market Omen” isn’t measuring the internals of the “stock” market is false. Here is why: A huge percent of NYSE stocks are financials, banking firms, and include firms such as General Electric which is essentially a financial firm, although many people would not think of them that way. Financial firms hold substantial positions in bonds. Almost every bank listed on the NYSE carries a fixed income bond portfolio somewhere between 15 and 30 percent of their entire balance sheet, and have for years, going back far beyond the past 25 years of our research, a period of time when the Hindenburg Omen worked just fine, thank you very much. Bond and other fixed income products are prevalent throughout the distribution of companies listed NYSE, and have been for years. This Omen has worked for at least the past 25 years. It accurately called the stock market crashes of 2007 and 2008 when the NYSE included many stocks holding significant positions in fixed income instruments. It does not matter. Our entire economy has essentially moved from a manufacturing base to a financial base. This makes the Hindenburg Omen relevant. We believe it would be unwise to ignore this potential stock market crash warning.

end

August 23, 2010 Posted by | Economics, EndTimes | , , , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments

Who Owns The Federal Reserve?

Revelation 2:9 - .... and I know the blasphemy of those who say they are Jews and are not, but are a synagogue of Satan.

August 23, 2010 Posted by | Economics | , | 2 Comments