Flashback May 2001: UFO Disclosure Project, National Press Club (DC).
- A large number (400) of ex high ranking officals including air traffic controllers, ex secret op. officers, commercial pilots, numorous military defence specialists with top secret clearance, people who had access to very sensitive documents lieutenants, ex commanders in the u.s airforce,
astronauts,etc…all going before the national press club to discuss what their experiences have been regarding u.f.o’s and all are willing to go before congress to testify under oath.. never before has such a group come forward..
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X-Conference 2010, National Press Club (DC). UFO Disclosure!
- Strong delusion is coming!! Snakes preparing their ‘magic’ show! See also:
Dr. Steven Greer: UFO Contact & Disclosure, The Final Sequence
UFO Secrets: Is The Embargo on Truth Ending?
Russian Navy Declassifies UFO Files
Major Steps in UFO Disclosure Worldwide – Pace is Speeding Up !
Professor John E. Mack on the Alien Abduction Phenomenon
National Press Club: UFO Disclosure Conference April 2009
UFO History: Out Of The Blue
Professor John E. Mack on the Alien Abduction Phenomenon
Strong Delusion Psy-War: UFO-ET Disclosure 2010? Pope’s Astronomer Says He Would Baptise An Alien If It Asked Him!
Vatican And ET Disclosure
Vatican Seeks Signs of Alien Life, Vatican’s 2009 Conference on Astrobiology. Alien Hybridization, Nephilim & Parable of Wheat and Tares.
Major Steps in UFO Disclosure Worldwide – Pace is Speeding Up !
Bill Cooper: Hoax Alien Invasion Planned !
Professor David Jacobs: Alien Abductions, Hybrids, Integration …
UFOs: Professor David Jacobs – The Nephilim Alien Agenda!
Bill Schnoebelen: Nephilim End Time Attack On Humanity!
Bill Schnoebelen: Exposing the Illuminati from Within
Lynn Marzulli: The Coming Great ‘UFO Alien Invasion’ Deception! Illuminist Hollywood Films Selling ET Delusion. New Generation of RFID Mark Of The Beast!
The Coming EndTimes Strong Delusion: Exposing the Deception & Danger Behind the UFO-Alien Phenomenon!
The History of Aliens, Nephilim, Fallen Angels And Demons! EndTimes Strong Delusion!
Skyline Movie Trailer (Nov 2010): Illuminist Predictive Programming of Alien Invasion. The Strong Delusion!
Five Informed Opinions About The UFO / Alien Deception!
Illuminist Predictive Programming for The Coming EndTimes Strong Delusion?
The Illuminati Card Game. 9/11 Predicted in X-Files Spin Off
Iron Mountain BluePrint For Global Tyranny! The Rise of The Mystery Babylon Whore! The EndTimes Grand Delusion Plan!
Project BlueBeam Grand Deception, HAARP And Anomalous Earthquakes of Past Few Years!
UFOs, Alien Abduction, Fallen Angels, Nephilim And The EndTimes Strong Delusion! Days Of Noah !
Project Blue Beam Documentary! EndTimes Grand Deception!
Project BlueBeam Grand Deception, HAARP And Anomalous Earthquakes of Past Few Years!
UFOs, Alien Abduction, Fallen Angels, Nephilim And The EndTimes Strong Delusion! Days Of Noah !
Steve Quayle And Tom Horn: Genetic Armageddon Part 2, Return of the Nephilim Giants Demigods, Transhumanism…29 June 2010
Steve Quayle And Tom Horn: Genetic Armageddon, Transhumanism, Today’s Technology Tomorrow’s Monster! (25 June 2010)
Coast To Coast AM, Norio Hayakawa: Secret Government, Ufology, D.U.M.Bs, Operation PaperClip, Project BlueBeam, The Grand Deception, New World Order…
Chuck Missler – Return of the Nephilim, UFO, Aliens & the Bible
President Ronald Reagan’s (1987) Speech About UFO Alien Invasion At United Nations !
Steve Quayle on Black Ops, UFOs, Nephilims and the Bible
Chuck Missler – Days of Noah, Nephilims & UFOs
Genesis 6 Giants on the Earth
The Nephilim – Giants on the Earth
Dr. Mark Eastman: Ancient UFO History and the Modern Phenomenon
Klaus Dona: The Hidden History of The Human Race! Antediluvian World And Nephilim Giants!
Conspiritus: The Illuminati Conspiracy!
Steve Quayle: Global Flashpoints And Apocalypse! False Flag Terrorism, World War, Depopulation, Return of the Nephilim Giants And More ….
Steve Quayle & Tom Horn: Inter-Dimensional Stargates Opening, Fallen Angels, Demons, Djinn, Nephilim Coming…. (22 July 2010) ?!
Dr. Tom Horn: Nephilim StarGate, Large Hadron Collider, God Particle, Aliens, UFOs, Transhumanism, Demonology….Dark Deception And The EndTimes Strong Delusion!
Dr. Tom Horn: Transhumanism, Genetically Modified Human, Animals, Grains… Human-Animal Chimera!
Dr. Tom Horn: Apollyon Rising 2012! The Hidden Occult Masonic Plan For America! The Rise of The Mystery Babylon Empire!
Dr. Tom Horn: Apollyon Rising 2012! The Final Mystery of The Great Seal Revealed! The Secret Destiny of America!
Christian Group Declares UFOs ‘evil spirits’ of the Bible
Extraterrestrials Tremble at the Name of Jesus
UFO Disclosure & the Coming EndTimes Strong Delusion
UFO, Extraterrestrials and the Coming EndTimes Strong Delusion
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US Government ‘Hiding True Amount of Debt’ !
- The actual amount is anybody’s guess. I remember a FedRes spokesman stating that it was above US$100T ! I am filled with hysterical laughter whenever I see useful idiots buying US treasuries. Do they believe they will get their money back? Of course, the belief is that there is always a bigger idiot who will take the treasuries off their hands. It is a dangerous game! Get burn once and you may not live to fight another day!
US Government ‘hiding true amount of debt’ (emphasis mine)
THE actual figure of the US’ national debt is much higher than the official sum of $US13.4 trillion ($14.3 trillion) given by the Congressional Budget Office, according to analysts cited on Sunday by the New York Post.
“The Government is lying about the amount of debt. It is engaging in Enron accounting,” said Laurence Kotlikoff, an economist at Boston University and co-author of The Coming Generational Storm: What You Need to Know about America’s Economic Future.
“The problem is we’re seeing an explosion in spending,” added Andrew Moylan, director of government affairs for the National Taxpayers Union. In 1980, the debt – the accumulated red ink incurred by the Federal Government – was $US909 billion. This represented some 33 per cent of gross domestic product, according to the Congressional Budget Office (CBO).
Thirty years later, based on this year’s second-quarter numbers, the CBO said the debt was $US13.4 trillion, or 92 per cent of GDP. The CBO estimates the debt will be at $US16.5 trillion in two years, or 100.6 per cent of GDP. But these numbers are incomplete.
They do not count off-budget obligations such as required spending for Social Security and Medicare, whose programs represent a balloon payment for the Government as more Americans retire and collect benefits. In the case of Social Security, beginning in 2016, the US Government will be paying out more than it is collecting in taxes. Without basic measures – such as payment cuts or higher payroll taxes – the system could be on the road to bankruptcy, according to officials.
“Without changes,” wrote Social Security Commissioner Michael Astrue, “by 2037 the Social Security Trust Fund will be exhausted. There will be enough money only to pay about $US0.76 for each dollar of benefits.” Mr Kotlikoff and Mr Moylan agree US national debt is much more than the official $US13.4 trillion number, but they disagree over how to add up the exact number.
Mr Kotlikoff says the debt is actually $US200 trillion.
Mr Moylan says the number is likely about $US60 trillion.
That is close to the figure quoted by David Walker, the US Comptroller General from 1998 to 2008. He launched a campaign to convince Americans that the federal spending and debt is a greater threat than terrorism. But whichever figure is accurate, all three agree that the problem has worsened in the last few years. They say it is because Congress and the Administration, whether Republican or Democrat, consistently overspend.
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Bob Chapman: The Economic Crisis is Worsening: Dollar Devaluation, Debt Default, Austerity and Growing Inflation!
- Do you believe in the official pronouncement of an end to the recession in June 2009? Sure, I believe these public serpents (I mean servants of course?!). For a dose of reality try this: Orwellian DoubleThink: Collapse is Recovery . Snakes are experts in behavioral psychology and mass conditioning. Tell a big lie and keep repeating it and the sheeple will swallow it hook, line and sinker! This time round many sheeple are forced by poverty, evictions, food stamps ….. and losing their jobs to imbibe the propaganda!
The Economic Crisis is Worsening: Dollar Devaluation, Debt Default, Austerity and Growing Inflation
As quantitative easing again gets underway the failure of QE1 becomes more obvious. The crisis worsens and the illusion of any recovery is light years away. Over the past three years almost $13 trillion that we know about has been thrown down a rat hole to bail out banking, Wall Street, insurance and selected elitist entities. The dollar figure is probably much higher. We will never know, because the privately owned Federal Reserve makes its own rules. Everything they do is a state secret. The five successful quarters were only a mirage. The funds have been vaporized among lending and financial institutions worldwide. There has been no accounting and there never will be as long as the Fed is not audited and investigated. We are in an inflationary depression and have been since February 2009. Massive injections of liquidity do not work, nor have they worked for centuries under these conditions. You cannot resurrect an insolvent country in a system that is corrupt. The controllers of the US economy are about to lead the American economy and financial structure into a great dark pit. The US and the world is soon to face a global breakdown deliberately engineered by the forces of darkness.
As usual the Fed was late in applying remedial therapy and that will prove costly. The funding of US debt by foreigners has become very costly and some are jumping ship and some are even using their dollars to buy gold. The game is changing, but will other countries risk a worldwide collapse by not rescuing the US economy? We don’t know but it doesn’t look promising. Monetization is coming and most nations are frozen in the headlights. Washington and NYC have applied pressure over and over again, but their arrogance has not gone unnoticed. There is a pretense of control as unemployment climbs and stability comes more into question. Headlining unemployment, U3, at 9-3/4% is dumb, when anyone with any sense can see U6 and the bogus birth/death ratio. Yes, unemployment is 21-5/8% and for those who want to see the truth it is visible worldwide. Real estate continues to descend, as the consumer reduces debt and consumption.
Much of the public is deeply disturbed and that has been borne out by the primary elections and the success of the Tea Party. We are hoping more than 50% of congress is thrown out of office. The more disturbed citizens that are involved in the sovereignty-secessionist movement, which has gained much traction over the past six months, the more people there will be stressing their 10th Amendment rights. People are thrashing around for answers with 14.3% living in poverty, 44 million on food stamps and every day more jobs are lost to free trade, globalization, offshoring and outsourcing. It is not surprising that Tea Partiers and secessionists want to dramatically change Washington and make radical changes in how the one party-two party system works. People have finally had it. They know full well where trillions of dollars went. That the US and European banking system were temporarily rescued. These were the same people who caused the problem in the first place and the public unceremonially is thrown a bone, like some stray dog. It is time for Americans to use their voting power to remove these criminals they voted into office. After January 2, 2011, America will have a lame duck president and a gridlock that will keep congress from creating any further damage. This will only be the beginning as people vent their anger at Wall Street and banking and its den of thieves. This tidal wave of rejection will really manifest itself when the elitist insiders in retribution collapse the stock and bond markets. Mark our words that will happen over the next few years, as will dollar devaluation and debt default. The ball has just started to roll and where it will all end up no one knows. The temple of the Federal Reserve and Wall Street could very well be doomed to destruction. The public now understands that Wall Street and banking own the Fed and they really make all the decisions and are the creators of all inside information. they profit on almost every trade. They cannot lose. They own the game. That is why for the last 18 months there has been an exodus of funds from the stock market to bonds, gold and silver and commodities. Naked shorting is rampant and the SEC and CFTC do nothing about it. Front running, known as flash trading, rigs every trade. More than 70% of trades are computer, black box driven by pros. Is it any wonder gold and silver hit new highs every day, Weiner & Waxman bring legislation to regulate coin dealers, when in fact they want to collect data on coin and bullion buyers. America has turned into a cesspool.
The reaction of the public to this crime syndicate will be staggering. Glass-Steagall will return and the wall between brokerage, banking and insurance will be re-erected. The system will be stripped in a way that 1933 and 1934 could never imagine. The system will be purged of malinvestment and banks, brokerage firms and insurance companies that are now broke will be allowed to fail. No more two sets of books. The Fed is responsible for all this debt and failure. It all lies at the feet of those who control the Fed. These are the people who have deliberately collapsed the system for more profit and power and the imposition of their dream of world government. The illusion of wealth that the Fed foisted on the public is over and the public is not ready to fall for it again. The public realizes they and the system are insolvent and they are very unhappy about it. Any effort to revive consumption will be futile. Veiled and overt threats to the public and Congress, as we saw from Henry Paulson and more recently by Ben Bernanke, are not going to work. The public is spoiling for a fight and when that happens a fight is sure to ensue. If these malevolent creatures take down Wall Street and banking you can be sure Paris, On July 14, 1789 will look like a picnic. Our aristocracy had best heed the message or they’ll end up like the 300,000 who lost their heads so long ago. Hell hath no fury like an enraged mob. The elitists had better wake up and stop their games robbery and extortion. They have to come to an end.
European bankers are terrified because they are equally broke. Their pursuit of austerity is commendable, but you do not raise taxes with 1% growth. This way you have austerity coming from both ends. This policy can only end in a very hard landing. They at least are smart enough to know that throwing money at the problem, stimulus, is not going to work. They realize the financial system is going to collapse and they are trying to find ways to ease the pain. Unfortunately there is no way to do so. They’ll take all the money and credit they can from the Fed, but they still believe those running the US from behind the scenes are suicidal. Like so many before them American elitists cannot entertain that their reign of power is over.
Early in 2011 the real fireworks will begin. In spite of stimulus of various kinds the economy will falter and unemployment will grow. The plight of what is really, truthfully, going on in the country and the world will become more manifest to the public via talk radio and the Internet. Government, Wall Street and banking will get little public support. The Fed will start to run into major opposition from foreigners in the funding of debt. As the lender of last resort, the injections of capital needed will grow exponentially.
What we will see is austerity and growing inflation at a level not seen since WWII. The people will become more and more disillusioned with the incompetence and growing impotence of the Fed and the administration. The public will become more and more enraged as they realize who has done this to them and why. That is why talk radio and the Internet will be so important in the future. They are almost the only way the public can learn the truth regarding their plight. More than 15% of Americans are experiencing what citizens experienced in the 1930s. Deficits will go exponential, but will not redevelop the economy. More and more funds will go to the destitute who will find it impossible to find work as our transnational conglomerates continue to move American jobs to foreign lands further crippling the economy. America is in a state of financial and economic collapse that will stretch out over years. Get ready to live like Americans did in the 1930s, 40s and 50s. The world that receives US dollars for its goods and services will no longer want to recycle them for worthless Treasury and Agency bills, bonds and notes. They will dump them on the market one way or another. The dollar now at 81.32 on the USDX will fall to 74, then to 71.18, and eventually to 40 to 45. In that process the dollar and many other currencies will be devalued and their debt defaulted upon. During that process the failure of these fiat currencies will, minute by minute, be reflected in the rising prices of gold and silver in markets that will eventually become free again. In reality no currency needs to be devalued. Gold and silver accomplish that daily. Why do you think since 1988 our government and those who control our government have suppressed gold and silver prices? Gold is the barometer of fear, the only real currency that owes no one anything. Gold and silver are the antithesis of fiat money. They are the only way to restore order out of chaos.
….. to continue reading click here!
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Will Obama ‘Force’ America To “Absorb A Terror Attack” To Save His Presidency?
- We are in the dangerous phase of the snakes end game. World War 3 is planned. These Illuminists have failed in their false flag terror attacks on Mumbai, India and the sinking of the South Korean warship Cheonan. They are setting the pieces for a coming World War!
- The Anglo-American-Zionist western Illuminist hegemony wants a New World Order based on them, ie they continuing in power. I suspect the Russian Illuminati has bought into this plan. I am not sure whether the Chinese Illuminists are playing along. What is certain is that for the western Illuminist hegemony to continue they need to take down China.
- Recent ‘conflicts’ between Japan and China are escalating into the uncomfortable and even dangerous level. Are the Chinese Illuminists staking their ground for an Asian hegemony under them? World war is inevitable. Japan is screwed. They are mere pawns and cannon fodder in this genocidal war game. Japan is under the control of Rothschild and Rockefeller banksters. They were emasculated after World War 2. The Satanic cabal ruling the western world is itching to start their World War 3 with a massive false flag (nuclear?) attack in America!
Will Obama Force America To “Absorb A Terror Attack” To Save His Presidency?
President Obama’s ominous claim that America can “absorb” a terror attack will have many fearing that staging some kind of false flag event will be the only way the government can overturn the massive resistance to big government that has grown exponentially since Obama took office.
During an interview with journalist Bob Woodward, the president said, “We can absorb a terrorist attack. We’ll do everything we can to prevent it, but even a 9/11, even the biggest attack ever . . . we absorbed it and we are stronger.” However, the only thing that was made stronger by 9/11 was the federal government’s power to harass, shake down and spy on the American people, as was exemplified yet again recently when Pennsylvania’s Office of Homeland Security was caught conducting surveillance on peaceful protest groups with the aid of an Israeli security company who listed Second Amendment groups amongst others as terrorists.
Given how both Bush and Clinton before him exploited terror attacks on U.S. soil to boost their flagging political agendas, we should be wary of Obama and his masters making good use of their own “October surprise” to counter record low approval figures for Congress on the eve of the midterm elections.
Talk show hosts such as Michael Savage have long been warning of a “Reichstag fire-like event” would be concocted to reinvigorate support behind Obama and given that his advisors include such ruthless individuals as Rahm Emanuel, the knife wielding son of a former Israeli terrorist who was involved in bombing hotels, marketplaces as well as massacres, we would be naive to put anything past these people.
Indeed, it was only two months ago that former Clinton advisor Robert Shapiro wrote in the Financial Times that the only thing that could save Obama’s tenuous grip on power was a terror attack on the scale of Oklahoma City or 9/11. “The bottom line here is that Americans don’t believe in President Obama’s leadership,” said Shapiro, adding, “He has to find some way between now and November of demonstrating that he is a leader who can command confidence and, short of a 9/11 event or an Oklahoma City bombing, I can’t think of how he could do that.”
Shapiro was clearly communicating the necessity for a terror attack to be launched in order to give Obama the opportunity to unite the country around his agenda in the name of fighting terrorists, just as President Bush did in the aftermath of 9/11 when his approval ratings shot up from around 50% to well above 80%.
Similarly, Bill Clinton was able to extinguish an anti-incumbent rebellion which was brewing in the mid 1990’s by exploiting the OKC bombing to demonize his political enemies as right-wing extremists. As Jack Cashill points out, Clinton “descended on Oklahoma City with an approval rating in the low 40s and left town with a rating well above 50 and the Republican revolution buried in the rubble.”
Only by exploiting a domestic terror attack which can be blamed on right-wing radicals, or by rallying the country round another war in the middle east, can Obama hope to reverse the tide of anti-incumbency candidates that threaten to drastically dilute the power monopoly of establishment candidates from both major political parties in Washington.
Shapiro is by no means the first to point out that terror attacks on U.S. soil and indeed anywhere in the world serve only to benefit those in positions of power. During the latter years of the Bush presidency, Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld mused with Pentagon top brass that shrinking Capitol Hill support for expanding the war on terror could be corrected with the aid of another terror attack.
Lt.-Col. Doug Delaney, chair of the war studies program at the Royal Military College in Kingston, Ontario, told the Toronto Star in July 2007 that “The key to bolstering Western resolve is another terrorist attack like 9/11 or the London transit bombings of two years ago.” The same sentiment was also explicitly expressed in a 2005 GOP memo, which yearned for new attacks that would “validate” the President’s war on terror and “restore his image as a leader of the American people.”
In June 2007, the chairman of the Arkansas Republican Party Dennis Milligan said that there needed to be more attacks on American soil for President Bush to regain popular approval. The Obama administration has proven itself to be alarmingly adept at lying about every issue under the sun, so why should we believe any different when it comes to the terror threat to America?
Using terror or the threat of terror as a political tool has been a routine ploy in recent years, and was acknowledged by former Homeland Security chief Tom Ridge when he admitted he was forced to issue fake terror alerts shortly before elections to influence the outcome.
Threatening terror has also been a tactic of some of Obama’s biggest supporters in the Democratic party, people like former Senator Gary Hart, who in 2007 wrote a thinly veiled threat to Iranian leaders pointing out that the U.S. has been involved in numerous staged provocations over the years to achieve political agendas, mentioning specifically the Gulf of Tonkin incident and the sinking of the Maine.
….. to continue reading click here!
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Fiat Currency Wars, Competitive Devaluations Fuel Gold’s Rally to $1,300/oz!
- You should have no doubts that fiat currencies are on the competitive devaluation route to toilet paper status. The smart money is flowing into commodities and precious metals to protect themselves. Accumulate physical gold and silver. Do not hang on to too much fiat currencies. Keep sufficient for say 4-6 months survival but the rest of your money keep it in physical gold/silver.
- Governments around the world are on the route to Quantitative Easing. This is simply printing money out of thin air (or electronically creating money out of nothing) to monetize debts. Debt monetization simply means buying your own debts with these legally counterfeited money. Look, if massive amount of money printing can solve the world’s problems, governments should go the whole hog and print US$1m/each for everybody. They should abolish all taxes and pay back all debts by printing money.
- The reality of history is: it is the beginning of the end for fiat currencies. Before an empire collapses, it is always followed by currency debasement. Yes, the Anglo-American empire is coming to an end. Unfortunately, I seriously doubt it will go in a whimper, much rather with the bang of global war!
- What will many central banks do with their large hoard of USD? They need to exchange it for other currencies or precious metals. Eventually, many central banks will come to the conclusion that other fiat currencies are no better than the USD and flee to gold. This process is accelerating right before our eyes. It will lead to an overnight collapse of the USD. What is holding up the value of the USD, ironically, is probably the CNY! Gold price will go ballistic ala 1979-1980!
Fiat Currency Wars, Competitive Devaluations Fuel Gold’s Rally to $1,300/oz
Over the past two months, there’s been a global stampede into precious metals, with investors of many different stripes, and from many countries, scurrying to buy gold and silver, in both the physical market and through exchange traded funds. The World Gold Council reported that the demand for gold worldwide surged 36% in the second quarter of 2010, to 1,050-tons. The Greek debt crisis, instability in Irish and Portuguese bonds, and expectations the Fed would unleash “Quantitative Easing, (QE-2), – flooding the world with a new tidal wave of freshly printed US-dollars, has supported the historic bull-run. Europe accounted for more than 35% of the retail purchases of gold coins during the second quarter.
The latest surge in gold and silver prices was sparked in July, following comments from Fed officials, signaling that QE-2 could be around the corner. On July 22nd, Fed chief Ben “Bubbles” Bernanke reassured congressional lawmakers the central bank is prepared to print more dollars, if the US-jobless rate continues to hover around 10-percent. “We are ready and will act if the economy does not continue to improve, if we don’t see the kind of improvements in the labor market that we are hoping for and expecting. Unemployment is the most important problem that we have right now. What we can do is make financial conditions as supportive of growth as we can and we certainly are doing that,” Bernanke said.
On August 19th, St Louis Fed chief James Bullard was more explicit, signaling his backing for further monetization of the US-government’s debt. “Should economic developments suggest increased disinflation risk, purchases of Treasury securities in excess of those required to keep the size of the balance sheet constant may be warranted. Any additional Treasury buying should be undertaken in a measured, deliberate manner, commensurate with the magnitude of the deflation threat.”
The Fed’s propaganda artists are operating behind a veil of “smoke-and mirrors,” trying to instill the fear of deflation in the bond market, in order to justify another big round of stealth monetization of the US-government’s debt. The Fed’s first go-around with QE, totaling $1.75-trillion, combined with the Bank of England’s 200-billion pound QE-scheme, and the Bank of Japan’s 21-trillion yen QE-scheme, fueled a powerful rally in key commodity markets last year, lifting the Dow Jones Commodity Index, (DJCI) from deep in negative territory, and onto the positive side, thus warding off the threat of deflation in the global economy.
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Sept 1st, Philadelphia Fed chief Charles Plosser, said the Fed would embark upon further monetary easing, if faced with a dangerous downward price spiral. “If we do need to act, if fears of deflation were to become real, then we would need every ounce of credibility we can muster to convince markets we are not going to let deflation happen.” Plosser said he would be open to further bond purchases if he saw deflation as a real risk. “I would certainly entertain the solution if I feared deflation, and if I feared that expectations were coming unglued in that direction, – then we would have to take actions,” he warned.
Interestingly enough, amid all this gloomy talk by Fed officials about the bogeyman of deflation, the demand for precious metals, – traditional hedges against inflation and currency devaluations, – is booming. Traders realize that the Fed’s magic elixir for fighting the scourge of deflation is more money printing, – otherwise known as nuclear QE-scheme. US-bond dealers, who trade directly with the Fed, aren’t questioning whether QE-2 is on the table, but rather, are taking bets on the size of QE-2, with estimates ranging between $300-billion and $1-trillion.
Competitive Currency Devaluations
Speculation that the Fed would unleash QE-2 has already spearheaded a new round of currency wars across the globe. Central bankers in Brazil, China, Chile, Japan, Russia, South Korea, and Thailand, have all stepped up their interventions, by injecting large sums of paper into the currency markets, while trying to prevent a precipitous decline in the value of the US-dollar versus their own currencies.
The amount of foreign currency reserves stashed away in the coffers of the Bank of Korea, (BoK) have climbed by $76-billion since April 2009, to a record high of $286-billion, – to become the world’s sixth-largest after China, Japan, Russia, Taiwan and India. The BoK’s currency reserves are an indicator of the approximate size of its interventions in the foreign-exchange market, utilized to artificially hold down the value of the Korean won vs the US-dollar.
The value of the US-dollar is critical to Seoul, since Beijing pegs the Chinese yuan to the US-dollar, and China is the biggest customer for Korean exporters. Thus, the BoK aims to protect its exporters in both the Chinese and US-markets. However, the BoK hasn’t been able to turn the bearish tide against the US-dollar. It’s been overwhelmed by ideas the Fed would unleash nuclear QE-2. Instead, the BoK can only try to stem the bleeding, – engineering an orderly retreat for the greenback.
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On Sept 16th, Tokyo’s financial warlords intervened in world currency markets to drive down the exchange rate of the yen by selling an estimated 2-trillion yen ($23-billion). The first such intervention by Japan in more than six years was also the biggest ever one-day currency action, and breached a tacit agreement among the Group-of-Seven industrial powers to avoid unilateral currency interventions.
Japan had threatened such action for more than six-weeks, after the value of the US-dollar had declined by 10% since May to a 15-year low of 83-yen. The Japanese yen also climbed sharply in relation to the Euro and the Chinese yuan. Japan’s multinationals, listed on the Nikkei-225 index, are heavily dependent on exports, and the dollar’s value had declined far below their average break-even point of 93-yen, and threatens their ability to sell goods abroad.
Japan’s foray into the currency markets triggered a short squeeze on over-zealous US-dollar bears, and lifted the dollar to as high as 86-yen. However, the dollar’s one-day rally quickly stalled out, as speculators began to bet that the size of the Fed’s QE-2 would exceed the size of the BoJ’s devaluation schemes. Earlier, the BoJ boosted the size of excess yen sitting in deposits held by Japanese bans to 30-trillion yen, ($350-billion), in an effort to put a floor under the dollar at 84-yen.
Despite the massive size of the BoJ’s injections of yen into the local banking system, it hasn’t been able to turn the US-dollar’s bearish tide against the yen. That’s because currency traders expect the Fed’s next round of QE-2 would trump the size of the BoJ’s interventions. Also, US-Treasury yields could resume falling further than comparable Japanese bond yields, thus narrowing the US-dollar’s interest rate advantage over the yen. In the current round of competitive currency devaluations, the Fed holds the trump card over the BoJ.
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Already, the BoJ is monetizing half of Tokyo’s annual budget deficit of 44-trillion yen this fiscal year, and there’s pressure on the central bank to buy more JGB’s to weaken the yen. Although some traders might view the BoJ’s bond buying operations as a buy signal for JGB’s, investors in Tokyo gold have profited more handsomely. Tokyo gold has been tracking the size of Japan’s outstanding debt, since Tokyo’s ruling elite prefer to pressure the central bank to monetize its debts, rather than sell-off state owned assets to finance budget shortfalls.
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Bank Rossii, Russia’s central bank, manages the rouble against a basket of dollars and Euros to limit currency swings that may hurt it exporters. In August, Bank Rossii bought $1.1-billion and 136-million Euros, while trying to keep the rouble within a floating range against the Euro-dollar’s basket. The worst drought in decades this summer has already shrunk Russia’s trade surplus to $8.3-billion in August, or 29% less than a year ago, and has slowed its economy’s growth rate to +2.4%, with 60% of the fall attributed to the agricultural sector. Thus, Bank Rossi is liable to start increasing the supply of roubles in the money markets, to limit further damage from adverse exchange rates moves to its economy.
The Kremlin earns most of its foreign currency from the sale of Urals blend crude oil, natural gas, and other natural resources, such as timber, platinum, and nickel. Along with rebounding energy and metals markets, Russia’s FX reserves have been replenished to around $478-billion today, from as low as $380-billion in March 2009. Moscow is keen to diversify some of its FX stash into gold, and last May, added 1.1-million ounces equaling 16% of monthly global mining output.
Overall, the Russian central bank bought gold at an average rate of 250,000-ounces /month for the past three-years, and now holds an estimated 23.6-million ounces. As of the first quarter of 2010, Saudi Arabia said it had more than doubled its gold holdings from 143-tons in Q’1, 2008 to 323-tons, for an average increase of 241,000 ounces a month, or about the same as Russia’s purchases. Thus, gold traders will keep a close eye on the FX reserves of these two key oil producers.
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