Socio-Economics History Blog

Socio-Economics & History Commentary

ECB Official Warns of Potential Sovereign Debt Crisis!

  • The way to protect yourself in this coming monetary crisis is to buy physical monetary metals ie: gold and silver. Gold has been the currency of choice for 5000+ years throughout the world, in far-flung empires, cultures and history. People who say that gold is a ‘barbarous relic’ are nitwits. Why should a piece of fiat currency paper be worth more than gold. Fiat currencies are con-jobs by profligate governments. This will be very apparent to the sheeple soon and they will all stampede to gold and silver. The Wall Street Journal reports:
      
    The global economy may be on the verge of a “sovereign debt crisis” following a severe financial crisis, a key member of the European Central Bank’s Executive Board warned Thursday. “We may already have entered into the next phase of the crisis: a sovereign debt crisis,” Juergen Stark
    said at a Transatlantic Dialogue event in Washington.
     
    The German economist also said risks to the global inflation outlook “seem to be tilted to the upside” given the prospects of a “multi-speed recovery” of the world economy. “There is no doubt that the crisis will leave us a heritage of severe macroeconomic imbalances,” Stark said. “Dealing with them will represent one of the most daunting challenges for policymakers in modern history.”
     
    Euro-zone government debt is projected to reach around 88% of gross domestic product in 2011. Debt-to-GDP ratios are forecast to reach highs of 100% and 200% in the U.S. and Japan respectively. “In the euro area, adverse fiscal developments are a cause of particular concern in several countries, generally those that did not exploit more buoyant economic times to firmly consolidate their public finances,” Stark said, according to the text of his speech.
     
    Greece’s deficit for 2009 stood at almost 13% of GDP–well above the deficit ceiling of 3% of GDP set by the EU’s Stability and Growth Pact. “With an annual structural deficit reduction of only 0.5% of GDP, it will take the euro area 20 years or more to return to the pre-crisis debt-to-GDP level,” he said.
     
    The ECB said consolidation must start in 2011, at the latest, and will have to “exceed substantially” the annual adjustment of 0.5% of GDP set as a minimum requirement by the Stability and Growth Pact. “Outside the euro area, bringing the public debt ratio back to safer regions appears even harder for the United Kingdom, the United States and Japan,” Stark cautioned.
     
    He even pointed out problems in specific U.S. states. “In the United States, too, some states [e.g. Arizona and California] have adopted a less prudent approach to the management of their public finances than others,” he said. Stark wouldn’t rule out a potential negative impact from large fiscal imbalances on inflation.
     
    “We also need to monitor very closely the possible adverse impact from fiscal developments on the inflation outlook.” Fast economic growth in some regions of the world could drive up prices for commodities and other goods globally, he cautioned.

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April 16, 2010 Posted by | Economics | , , , , , , , , | Comments Off

Bob Chapman: The Illuminati Want to Bankrupt the World And Usher in World Government!

April 16, 2010 Posted by | Economics, GeoPolitics | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Morgan Stanley: A Eurozone Collapse Is Now Far More Likely, Here Are The Canaries To Watch Out For!

  • Vincent Fernando writes:
       
    The latest Global Monetary Analyst raises the notion of stronger Eurozone nations ditching the euro in order to form a stronger, smaller currency union. Morgan Stanley’s Joachim Fels believes that the eurozone/IMF financial backstop for Greece, plus the European Central Bank’s recent backing-down on collateral rules for Greece have substantially, and ironically, increased the long-term risk of a eurozone break-up. Joachim Fels at Morgan Stanley:
      
    … which gives rise to moral hazard: The bail-out and the ECB’s softer collateral stance set a bad precedent for other euro area member states and make it more likely that the euro area degenerates into a zone of fiscal profligacy, currency weakness and higher inflationary pressures over time. If so, countries with a high preference for price stability, such as Germany, might conclude that they would be better off with a harder but smaller currency union. And because the Maastricht Treaty does not provide for the possibility of expelling euro area members, the only way how Germany could achieve this would be by leaving the euro to introduce a stronger currency.

    Obviously, we have not reached the end-game yet. However, with the recent developments, such a break-up scenario has clearly become more likely, for two reasons. First, the lesson for other euro area members from the Greek bail-out package that no matter how badly you violate the SGP guidelines, financial help will be forthcoming, if push comes to shove. This introduces a serious moral hazard problem into the European equation. Fiscal slippage in other countries has now become more rather than less likely.
     
    Moreover, the central bank’s credibility has been massively eroded.
     
    Second, the ECB’s climb-down on its collateral rules regarding lower-rated bonds, which ensures that Greek government bonds will still be eligible as collateral in ECB tenders beyond 2010, adds to this moral hazard problem and confirms that the ECB is not immune to political considerations and pressures.
     
    Most importantly, what to watch for that might signal the beginning of the end of the currency union as we know it:
     
    What are the signposts that would indicate our break-up scenario is in fact unfolding?
     
    First, watch fiscal developments in other euro area countries closely: Our suspicion is that the aid package for Greece lessens other governments’ resolve to tighten fiscal policy, especially in an environment of ongoing economic stagnation or recession.
     
    Second, watch ECB policy closely: If the ECB turns out to be slow in raising interest rates once inflation pressures return, this would be a sign of a politicisation of monetary policy.
     
    Third, watch the political debate in Germany: Support for Greece has been extremely unpopular and fears that the euro will turn into a soft currency abound. If the aid package for Greece, which so far is a backstop credit line, becomes activated, eurosceptic forces would receive a significant further boost. And, needless to say, if other countries also needed financial support, this would further strengthen euro opposition.
      
    (Via Morgan Stanley, Global Monetary Analyst, Joachim Fels, 14 April 2010)

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April 16, 2010 Posted by | Economics | Comments Off

US Threatens To Nuke Iran; Blame Victim’s “Intentions;” Beware False Flag Attack To Pull Trigger !

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April 16, 2010 Posted by | GeoPolitics | , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Chomsky Warns Of Risk Of Fascism In America!

  • I am not alone in warning about the rise of fascism in America. The PTB is deliberately driving the economy to the ground, much like Weimar Republic Germany and subsequently promote nationalism to lead the nation into World War! This is the ‘Nazification’ of America, the script is clearly pre WW2 Nazi Germany! Matthew Rothschild reports:
      
    Noam Chomsky, the leading leftwing intellectual, warned last week that fascism may be coming to the United States.
     
    “I’m just old enough to have heard a number of Hitler’s speeches on the radio,” he said, “and I have a memory of the texture and the tone of the cheering mobs, and I have the dread sense of the dark clouds of fascism gathering” here at home.
     
    Chomsky was speaking to more than 1,000 people at the Orpheum Theatre in Madison, Wisconsin, where he received the University of Wisconsin’s A.E. Havens Center’s award for lifetime contribution to critical scholarship. “The level of anger and fear is like nothing I can compare in my lifetime,” he said.
     
    He cited a statistic from a recent poll showing that half the unaffiliated voters say the average tea party member is closer to them than anyone else. “Ridiculing the tea party shenanigans is a serious error,” Chomsky said.
     
    Their attitudes “are understandable,” he said. “For over 30 years, real incomes have stagnated or declined. This is in large part the consequence of the decision in the 1970s to financialize the economy.”
     
    There is class resentment, he noted. “The bankers, who are primarily responsible for the crisis, are now reveling in record bonuses while official unemployment is around 10 percent and unemployment in the manufacturing sector is at Depression-era levels,” he said. And Obama is linked to the bankers, Chomsky explained.
     
    “The financial industry preferred Obama to McCain,” he said. “They expected to be rewarded and they were. Then Obama began to criticize greedy bankers and proposed measures to regulate them. And the punishment for this was very swift: They were going to shift their money to the Republicans. So Obama said bankers are “fine guys” and assured the business world: ‘I, like most of the American people, don’t begrudge people success or wealth. That is part of the free-market system.’
     
    People see that and are not happy about it.” He said “the colossal toll of the institutional crimes of state capitalism” is what is fueling “the indignation and rage of those cast aside.” “People want some answers,” Chomsky said. “They are hearing answers from only one place: Fox, talk radio, and Sarah Palin.”
     
    Chomsky invoked Germany during the Weimar Republic, and drew a parallel between it and the United States. “The Weimar Republic was the peak of Western civilization and was regarded as a model of democracy,” he said. And he stressed how quickly things deteriorated there.
     
    “In 1928 the Nazis had less than 2 percent of the vote,” he said. “Two years later, millions supported them. The public got tired of the incessant wrangling, and the service to the powerful, and the failure of those in power to deal with their grievances.”
     
    He said the German people were susceptible to appeals about “the greatness of the nation, and defending it against threats, and carrying out the will of eternal providence.” When farmers, the petit bourgeoisie, and Christian organizations joined forces with the Nazis, “the center very quickly collapsed,” Chomsky said. No analogy is perfect, he said, but the echoes of fascism are “reverberating” today, he said.
     
    “These are lessons to keep in mind.”

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April 16, 2010 Posted by | GeoPolitics, History, Social Trends | , , | 7 Comments

U.S. Foreclosure Filings Rise 16% as Bank Seizures Set Record ! New US Jobless Claims Unexpectedly Jump!

  • More green shoots for the US economy? I don’t think so! This is Great Depression 2.0. Even with their manufactured data, the snakes have difficulty hiding the truth! The reality is: only the Wall Street banksters who have ‘raped’ the country are doing well. Main Street is in severe distress. The number of people on food stamps is 39 million and rising. Independent economics researcher like www.shadowstats.com is reporting U6 unemployment at 22% and CPI at 9.7%. These are clearly horrendous and depression conditions. In the 1929 Great Depression, unemployment was around 25%.
     
    U.S. Foreclosure Filings Rise 16% as Bank Seizures Set Record
    April 15 (Bloomberg) — Foreclosure filings in the U.S. rose 16 percent in the first quarter from a year earlier and bank seizures hit a record as lenders stepped up action against delinquent homeowners, according to RealtyTrac Inc.
     
    A total of 932,234 homes, or one out of every 138 households, received a default or auction notice, or were repossessed by banks, the Irvine, California-based firm said today. In March, filings rose 8 percent to the most in any month since RealtyTrac began publishing reports in January 2005.
      
    New US jobless claims unexpectedly jump
    New claims for US unemployment insurance benefits unexpectedly rose last week, largely due to Easter holiday-related factors, the Labor Department said Thursday. Initial jobless claims totaled a seasonally adjusted 484,000 in the week ending April 10, the highest level since late February, the department reported.
     
    That marked an increase of 24,000 from the prior week’s unrevised figure of 460,000 and surprised most analysts who had forecast new claims would fall by 440,000.

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April 16, 2010 Posted by | Economics | , , | Comments Off

Invisible Empire: A New World Order Defined !

  • The documentary is here. We can view it for free. This documentary reveals the coming of the ‘Mystery Babylon Whore’ and the 4th World Empire! We are very close to the endgame.
      
    Revelation 17:1-6 (New King James Version)
    The Scarlet Woman and the Scarlet Beast
    1 Then one of the seven angels who had the seven bowls came and talked with me, saying to me,[a] “Come, I will show you the judgment of the great harlot who sits on many waters, 2 with whom the kings of the earth committed fornication, and the inhabitants of the earth were made drunk with the wine of her fornication.”
     
    3 So he carried me away in the Spirit into the wilderness. And I saw a woman sitting on a scarlet beast which was full of names of blasphemy, having seven heads and ten horns. 4 The woman was arrayed in purple and scarlet, and adorned with gold and precious stones and pearls, having in her hand a golden cup full of abominations and the filthiness of her fornication.[b] 5 And on her forehead a name was written: 
     
    MYSTERY, BABYLON THE GREAT, THE MOTHER OF HARLOTS AND OF THE ABOMINATIONS OF THE EARTH.
     
     6 I saw the woman, drunk with the blood of the saints and with the blood of the martyrs of Jesus. And when I saw her, I marveled with great amazement.
      
    Daniel 7:23 (New King James Version)
    23 “Thus he said: 
     ‘ The fourth beast shall be
    A fourth kingdom on earth,
    Which shall be different from all other kingdoms,
    And shall devour the whole earth,
    Trample it and break it in pieces.
      
  • The anticipation can finally be realized as today sees the launch of Invisible Empire: A New World Order Defined, the powerful new documentary which will put the final nail in the coffin of any doubts that a dictatorial elite is openly setting up an authoritarian system of world government designed to concentrate power and crush the freedom and living standards of the middle class.
     
    The Infowars team have poured 18 months of blood sweat and tears into a film that represents a call to action for Infowarriors around the globe to use this tool as a means of unlocking millions more minds from the matrix.
     
    The impact the film will achieve is solely in the hands of you, the audience, in making the movie go viral in the same way as Loose Change, the Obama Deception and Endgame achieved viral success, and in turn waking up millions more people to the New World Order system and enabling them to take the first steps in resisting their tyranny.
     
    Film maker Jason Bermas has collected a truly monumental amount of video archive and document material to render completely obsolete claims that the agenda of today’s ruling elite is not the open move towards a global totalitarian world government which will be run to the detriment of the people in the self-interests of the tiny ruling class that sit atop the power pyramid.
      
    Invisible Empire is all conspiracy and no theory – proving beyond doubt how the elite have openly conspired to insidiously rule the globe via the engines of the CFR, the United Nations, the Trilateral Commission, and the Bilderberg group, which were born out of the historical Round Table groups first set up by Cecil Rhodes.
     
    Invisible Empire will be more than just a film– it is the culmination of years of research by Jason Bermas into the inner-workings and most revealing public statements by the New World Order and the most trusted stewards of their dark vision. Invisible Empire promises to unveil the long-term agenda for world control, just as Fabled Enemies and Loose Change Final Cut forever stripped away the facade of the official story of 9/11 and exposed the dark truth that lies behind.

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April 16, 2010 Posted by | Economics, EndTimes, GeoPolitics, History, Social Trends | , | 1 Comment

   

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