Bullish on Bullion !
- There are no two ways about it. Gold is real money. Fiat currencies are just a confidence game. It is backed by nothing. As long as the illusion that it is valuable is maintained, the sheeple will follow. But the time is getting closer, when the con-game, con-job is exposed for what it is. The sheeple will realize and there will be a massive stampede to gold. This will be the phase change event that propel gold hyperbolic towards unimaginable level. The global monetary crisis will make previous financial crisis look like a walk in the park. Barron’s reports:
Gold appreciated by 10% or more against the world’s major currencies in the past decade. More bad news for the buck and pound? THE DOLLAR IS NOT AS GOOD AS GOLD. Neither are 22 other currencies. A recent study by GoldMoney.com, which enables online cross-border transactions using gold as a currency, found that from 2000 through 2009, gold rose an average 10.1% a year versus the Swiss franc (which turned in the best of the bad showings by the currencies studied) to 14.9% against the U.S. dollar (a middling performer) to 20.0% for the Sri Lankan rupee (the worst in show).
“Gold isn’t going up, currencies are going down,” says James Turk, GoldMoney.com’s founder. “The purchasing power of gold remains basically unchanged against commodities. In contrast, the purchasing power of national currencies is being constantly eroded.”
Silver also appreciated against the 23 currencies, from 9.5% for the New Zealand and Australian dollars, to 14.4% for the U.S. dollar, to 17.3% for the Mexican peso. (Click here to see tables showing all 23 currencies’ performances against gold and silver.)
Gold peaked around $1,220 on Dec. 3 and closed Thursday at $1,108.50. In an interview three years ago (“Yes, $8,000 an Ounce,” May 29, 2006), Turk predicted that the metal could go as high as $8,000 an ounce in inflation-adjusted dollars somewhere between 2013 and 2015, and he’s sticking with that price target. “I don’t think this [uptrend"]is going to reverse anytime soon,” he says.
That’s because governments are debasing currencies, he says, destroying their citizens’ purchasing power by spending beyond their means and using debt to stay afloat. The U.S., as one example, is trying to goose its economic recovery through massive deficit spending, but it may worsen the situation should the dollar tank, Turk asserts.
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Greece Now, U.K. Next as Scots Ready for Pound Plunge !
- The sovereign debt crisis is not over. It will circulate the world and result in a monetary crisis. The UK pound is under severe attack now. This is a concerted effort by banksters to destabilize currencies and make a great deal of money. Gold is responding by making record highs in both UK pound and Euro. The intention of the banksters is to create a currency war (destabilization) such that fiat currencies collapse. Thereafter, they will come out with their prepared One Global Currency solution. Mark my words: we are at the cusp of a global monetary crisis. Bloomberg reports:
While the eyes of the world focus on Greece’s debt crisis, investors in Edinburgh are busy preparing for the U.K. to be next. Turcan Connell, which caters to rich families, expects the pound to lose between 20 percent and 30 percent against the dollar once investors turn their sights on Britain as the government sells a record amount of debt. Sterling slid to a 10- month low versus the U.S. currency today.
“Alarm bells were ringing in Greece for a long time and when it happened, it happened very quickly,” Haig Bathgate, head of strategy at Turcan Connell, said at the company’s offices in the Scottish capital. “The U.K. is in a similar predicament. It could be hit very hard.” Money managers in Edinburgh, where investment decisions have been made on behalf of insurers, pensioners and the wealthy for two centuries, are maneuvering to protect assets from the U.K. economy as it limps out of its worst recession on record.
Bruce Stout, whose Murray International Trust Plc in Edinburgh has doubled over the past five years, said the chance of a plummeting pound are “better than even” and his biggest holdings are in Asia and Latin America. He called sterling a “very vulnerable currency.”
U.K. fund managers at Aegon Asset Management and Scottish Widows Investment Partnership, together responsible for more than 30 billion pounds ($45 billion), said in January they are buying companies that do the bulk of their business abroad.
‘Very Dire’
“When there’s a fiscal crisis, the markets tend to punish that country very quickly,” said Bathgate, who is responsible for 560 million pounds. “I don’t think Britain is in nearly as bad a position as Greece. We’ve got a good taxation system, however the position of the economy is very dire.”
The U.K.’s budget deficit is roughly the same as Greece’s, both exceeding 12 percent of economic output. Moody’s Investors Service and Standard & Poor’s said last week they may cut Greece’s credit rating as the five-month-old government struggles to curb spending and control its debt.
Concern that Greece won’t be able to cut its deficit helped send the euro 5.6 percent lower against the dollar this year. The euro today strengthened to a three-month high against the pound, trading above 90 pence.
British Prime Minister Gordon Brown’s government in December increased its planned gilt sales for the financial year ending this month to a record 225.1 billion pounds from the 220 billion pounds announced in April. Moody’s Investors Service said in December the U.K. may “test the Aaa boundaries.”
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UBS Report
The pound may fall below parity with the euro and drop to the lowest level against the dollar since the mid-1980s should the U.K. cut spending too quickly, Mansoor Mohi-Uddin, chief currency strategist at UBS AG, said in a Feb. 24 report.
Sterling slid to a nine-month nadir against the dollar last week, trading at $1.52. Zurich-based UBS, the world’s second- biggest currency trader, predicted it could fall “quickly back” to $1.05 or below.
The pound may come under further pressure with the Bank of England resuming its quantitative-easing program, a process of injecting new money into the economy, within the next three to four months, Bathgate said. Policy maker Adam Posen said Feb. 24 the central bank may expand the 200 billion-pound asset-purchase plan should the economic recovery prove weaker than expected.
“If it comes back then we’re likely to be the only people doing that in the world at that time,” said Bathgate. “My strong view is the government is trying to create inflation and devalue the currency.”
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