Europe’s Exposure To ‘PIGS’ Problem!

Damn if they bailout, damn if they don't! France and Germany are in deep deep trouble!

• The Germans and French are screwed. Even if they opt to bailout the PIGS, I doubt it will be a one time deal. The European economy is not doing well. There are too any hotspots to put out in the global economy for optimism in the near future. Damn if they do, damn if they don’t. There is no easy road out of this coming calamity. All roads lead to economic, financial and monetary crisis! My gut feeling is: they will abandon all good financial sense and go for printing money out of thin air (QE) big time. Politically, it is the least costly alternative. Just inflate their way out of the problem! Bloomberg reports:
   
  PIGS Exposure Explains ‘Shotgun Greek Wedding’: Chart of Day
  German and French banks’ “enormous” exposure to Portugal, Ireland, Greece and Spain explains why Europe’s biggest economies are moving to rescue their southern neighbors, Societe General SA said today in a report titled “Shotgun Greek Wedding.”
   
  The CHART OF THE DAY shows how much money German, French, Swiss and U.K. banks have at stake in the so-called PIGS countries. Banks in Germany and France alone have a combined exposure of $119 billion to Greece and $909 billion to the four countries, according to data from the Bank for International Settlements. Overall, European banks have $253 billion in Greece and $2.1 trillion in the so-called PIGS.
   
  “The exposure is enormous,” said Klaus Baader, co-chief European economist at Societe Generale in London. “The crisis in Greece isn’t Greece’s problem alone but a concrete problem for Europe’s whole banking sector. That explains the interest of finance ministers in stabilizing the situation.”
   
  Leaders from the 16-nation euro area said today they have agreed to act if necessary to help Greece reduce its budget deficit and safeguard financial stability in the region. Debt- stricken Greece is struggling to convince investors it is able to reduce its deficit from 12.7 percent of gross domestic product, sparking turmoil on financial markets.
   
  Spain, Portugal and Ireland, also suffering from gaping deficits after the worst recession since World War II, have been sucked into the swirl of widening bond spreads and soaring credit default swaps. The premium investors demand to hold 10- year bonds of the so-called PIGS countries instead of benchmark German bunds, and the cost of insuring against default, have surged this year. “The countries’ situations put the finances of fiscally stronger countries in jeopardy,” Baader said. “That’s one reason why the tone changed.”

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