Socio-Economics History Blog

Socio-Economics & History Commentary

Gold is Money ! Save it !

  • The world is heading towards inflation and highly probable hyper-inflation. The amount of money printed out of thin air will take traction soon and cause inflation to spike upwards. We are seeing early signs in UK Feb 09 CPI. It rose unexpectedly to 3.2% YoY. Are we not in a deflationary environment? Why did the CPI show inflation? Soon inflation will pick up in the western world and nobody will doubt inflation is the monster we have to deal with.
     
  • With Quantitative Easing and Debt Monetization, fiat currencies will be debased. Make no mistake, fiat currencies are going towards being toilet paper. The USD, UK Sterling, Japanese Yen will all be under duress. The world is heading towards a monetary meltdown. This will not just be a regional problem. When major currencies are debased it affects all fiat currencies. Competitive devaluation will follow.
     
  • The only real money that has stood the sands of time is Gold. Many empires have collapsed along with their fiat currencies. But Gold is still around and recognized as money. We need to understand the stage we are in. Fiat currencies can no longer do the job as money. When hyper-inflation kicks in, these fiat currencies will continue to be debased until they are use as fuel for the fire stove in winter, much like in Weimar Republic Germany.
     
  • James Turk, founder of www.GoldMoney.com, comments :
     
    An old Chinese saying declares that wisdom begins by calling things by their right name.  Truer words could not be spoken about gold.  If you call gold by the wrong name, you begin down the wrong road, which is a serious handicap.  It can easily prevent you from understanding why you should own gold as well as how to determine its value.  The point is that gold is not an investment; it is money.  
     
  • Gold has held its purchasing power when compared to fiat currencies.
    crude-oil-price-in-major-currencies-vs-gold
  • James Turk again :
     
    We can see from this chart that the price of crude oil in terms of gold is basically unchanged over this 59-year period.  In other words, a gram or ounce of gold today buys essentially the same amount of crude oil it did in January 1950.  Clearly, that result would make gold to be a lousy investment.  There has been no appreciation from owning gold.  You can only buy the same amount of crude oil with gold that you could in 1950, not more. 
     
    A so-called ‘investment’ in gold has generated zero return, but owning gold has nevertheless achieved something very important.  Gold has preserved purchasing power over this period, which is what money is supposed to do.  This observation raises some interesting questions. 
     
    How can the above table and graph be reconciled?  How can gold achieve double-digit rates of appreciation this decade against the world’s major currencies but still buy an unchanged amount of crude oil? The answer is that gold is not really appreciating.  Instead, the US dollar and eight other currencies in the above table are depreciating.  They are losing purchasing power, but this reality explaining this deficiency of national currencies is not new.  Here are the words of Henry Thornton in his book penned in 1802, “An Enquiry Into the Nature and Effects of the Paper Credit of Great Britain”,
    explaining gold’s unique attribute in this regard.
     
    We naturally imagine that the spot on which we ourselves stand is fixed, and that the things around us move. ……… In consequence of a similar prejudice, we assume that the currency which is in all our hands, and with which we ourselves are, as it were, identified, is fixed, and that the price of bullion moves; whereas in truth, it is the currency of each nation that moves, and it is bullion, the larger article serving for the commerce of the world, which is the more fixed.”
     
    Thornton’s observation remains true today.  The price of goods and service are best measured in terms of gold, which enables a clear view of how badly national currencies are depreciating.  Gold preserves the purchasing power of those who own it.
     
    So always keep in mind that gold is money, not an investment.  It therefore has to be analyzed as money, and to do this, it has to be compared to other ‘monies’.  These are of course “the currency of each nation that moves”.  In his 18th century vernacular, Thornton means these currencies inflate and thereby lose purchasing power.
     
    In the final analysis, there are two things one can do with money – spend it or save it.  Saving money is always a good thing.  For the past eight years it has been particularly wise to save gold – to accumulate it in order to build-up your savings.  This strategy continues to make good sense.  So save gold; don’t view it to be an investment.  Gold is money. 
     

Disclaimer – I am not a financial advisor. This is not an advice to buy, sell or hold any stocks or bonds or any precious metals.

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April 15, 2009 - Posted by | Economics | , , , , , ,

1 Comment

  1. [...] GATA – Gold Price Manipulation Russia Backs Return to Gold Standard To Solve Financial Crisis Gold is Money ! Save it ! Fed Monetization of Debt as US Dollar Flows to Central Banks Collapses Gillian Tett: Return to a [...]

    Pingback by Gold to Rise on Further Monetary Devaluation « Socio-Economics History Blog | April 17, 2009


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